Football · Mozambique Mocambola · 05/08, 14:45
Prediction: Costa Do Sol vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
Team pages: Costa Do Sol · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.74Total
Costa Do Sol1.25
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala0.49
1X2
Costa Do Sol
Draw
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Costa Do Sol
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Costa Do Sol
3–2–0
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
(5 last)
- Costa Do Sol0-0Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
- Clube Ferroviário de Nacala1-1Costa Do Sol
- Costa Do Sol5-1Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
- Costa Do Sol2-0Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
- Costa Do Sol1-0Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Costa Do Sol 1535 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 1550
| Costa Do Sol | Draw | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Market | 57% | 28% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.74 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Costa Do Sol: 3-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Costa Do Sol | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Costa Do Sol 3–2–0 Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
| 05/08/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Costa Do Sol |
| 01/07/23 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
| 08/10/22 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
| 02/10/21 Mozambique Mocambola | Costa Do Sol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
Standings · Mozambique Mocambola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Bulls | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
| 2 | Ferroviario Beira | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | Costa Do Sol | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ferroviario de Nampula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | LD Sofala | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Vilankulo FC | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Baía de Pemba F.C | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | CD Maxaquene | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Costa Do Sol | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
|---|---|---|
| Vilankulo FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ferroviario Lichinga | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Chingale de Tete | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| LD Sofala | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Ferroviario Beira | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Costa Do Sol (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Costa Do Sol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | CD Estrela Vermelha de Maputo Mozambique Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/06 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/11 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/11 | Desportivo Da Matola Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Costa Do Sol vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Costa Do Sol win (56%). Probabilities: Costa Do Sol 56%, draw 30%, Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 15%.
How many goals are expected in Costa Do Sol vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala?
The model expects 1.74 goals (Costa Do Sol 1.25 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 0.49), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Costa Do Sol vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.