Prediction: CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula
Team pages: CD Maxaquene · Ferroviario de Nampula
| CD Maxaquene | Draw | Ferroviario de Nampula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 30% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 31% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferroviario de Nampula (rating 1447 vs 1512).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Maxaquene | Ferroviario de Nampula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.3 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3 / 1 |
Standings · Mozambique Mocambola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Bulls | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
| 2 | Ferroviario Beira | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | Costa Do Sol | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Ferroviario de Nampula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | LD Sofala | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Vilankulo FC | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Baía de Pemba F.C | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | CD Maxaquene | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Maxaquene | Ferroviario de Nampula |
|---|---|---|
| Vilankulo FC | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Ferroviario Lichinga | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Chingale de Tete | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| LD Sofala | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Ferroviario Beira | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Costa Do Sol | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferroviario de Nampula (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Maxaquene
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/05 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/11 | Estrela Vermelha Other Match |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Ferroviario de Nampula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Ferroviario Beira Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/11 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/11 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/11 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferroviario de Nampula win (42%). Probabilities: CD Maxaquene 28%, draw 30%, Ferroviario de Nampula 42%.
How many goals are expected in CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula?
The model expects 2.41 goals (CD Maxaquene 1.06 · Ferroviario de Nampula 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Maxaquene vs Ferroviario de Nampula?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.