Football · Romania Cup · 05/08, 16:30
Prediction: CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Jiul Petrosani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
CS Metalurgistul Cugir1.89
Jiul Petrosani1.5
1X2
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Draw
Jiul Petrosani
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Jiul Petrosani
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1449 · Jiul Petrosani 1487
| CS Metalurgistul Cugir | Draw | Jiul Petrosani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Metalurgistul Cugir | Jiul Petrosani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 3.8 | 2.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | SCM Zalau Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | SCM Zalau Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 20/03 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Jiul Petrosani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | ACS LPS HD Clinceni Romania Liga III |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/04 | ACS LPS HD Clinceni Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/03 | FC Inter Sibiu Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Jiul Petrosani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Metalurgistul Cugir win (45%). Probabilities: CS Metalurgistul Cugir 45%, draw 25%, Jiul Petrosani 29%.
How many goals are expected in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Jiul Petrosani?
The model expects 3.39 goals (CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1.89 · Jiul Petrosani 1.5), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs Jiul Petrosani?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.