Football · Romania Cup · 12/08, 16:30

Prediction: USV Iasi vs Cetate Suceava

Team pages: USV Iasi · Cetate Suceava

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
USV Iasi1.34
Cetate Suceava2.44
1X2
18% 21% 60%
USV Iasi Draw Cetate Suceava
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
USV Iasi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDDDLWWW
Cetate Suceava 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
USV Iasi 0–2 Cetate Suceava (2 last)
  • Cetate Suceava5-0USV Iasi
  • USV Iasi0-5Cetate Suceava
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Iasi 1486 · Cetate Suceava 1614
USV IasiDrawCetate Suceava
Our model19%20%61%
Market18%22%60%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cetate Suceava (rating 1486 vs 1614).
  • H2H favours Cetate Suceava: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USV IasiCetate Suceava
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.92.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/71/29%38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 53.7 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Iasi 002 Cetate Suceava

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/12/25
Romania Liga III
Cetate Suceava5-0USV Iasi
26/09/25
Romania Liga III
USV Iasi0-5
HT 0-3
Cetate Suceava

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Iasi

LWLDDDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 CS Bradul Putna
Romania Cup
0-0 2-1 54 W
29/07 AS Stiinta Miroslava
Romania Cup
0-0 1-0 123 W
16/05 ACS FC Bacau II
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
09/05 Acs Bucovina Radauti
Romania Liga III
1-6 L
01/05 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 53 D
25/04 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-2 06 D
17/04 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 86 D
10/04 CS Gheorgheni
Romania Liga III
0-2 L
03/04 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
0-0 3-1 36 W
28/03 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
0-3 2-4 26 L

Cetate Suceava

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 ASA Targu Mures
Romania Liga 2
1-0 2-0 72 W
01/08 CS Concordia Chiajna
Romania Liga 2
0-2 1-3 34 L
23/05 ACS Sepsi II
Romania Liga III
3-0 4-0 103 W
15/05 CS Blejoi
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 64 W
08/05 CS Sporting Liesti
Romania Liga III
1-1 3-1 107 W
02/05 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
3-2 W
24/04 ACS Sepsi II
Romania Liga III
0-1 3-2 123 W
17/04 CS Blejoi
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 W
10/04 CS Sporting Liesti
Romania Liga III
6-1 W
03/04 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
0-0 3-1 136 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Iasi vs Cetate Suceava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cetate Suceava win (60%). Probabilities: USV Iasi 18%, draw 21%, Cetate Suceava 60%.

How many goals are expected in USV Iasi vs Cetate Suceava?

The model expects 3.78 goals (USV Iasi 1.34 · Cetate Suceava 2.44), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Iasi vs Cetate Suceava?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.