Football · Romania Cup · 12/08, 16:30

Prediction: CSM Flacara Moreni vs Chindia Targoviste

Team pages: Chindia Targoviste

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
CSM Flacara Moreni1.39
Chindia Targoviste2.2
1X2
22% 23% 54%
CSM Flacara Moreni Draw Chindia Targoviste
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Flacara Moreni 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWDLWWW
Chindia Targoviste 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDDDDLLW
Head-to-head
CSM Flacara Moreni 1–3 Chindia Targoviste (4 last)
  • CSM Flacara Moreni6-0Chindia Targoviste
  • CSM Flacara Moreni1-3Chindia Targoviste
  • CSM Flacara Moreni1-2Chindia Targoviste
  • Chindia Targoviste2-0CSM Flacara Moreni
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Flacara Moreni 1549 · Chindia Targoviste 1479
CSM Flacara MoreniDrawChindia Targoviste
Our model23%22%55%
Market22%24%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Flacara Moreni (rating 1549 vs 1479).
  • H2H favours Chindia Targoviste: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSM Flacara MoreniChindia Targoviste
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 1.91.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/25/50%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 4.53.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Flacara Moreni 103 Chindia Targoviste

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/07/26
Club Friendly List
CSM Flacara Moreni6-0Chindia Targoviste
06/08/25
Romania Cup
CSM Flacara Moreni1-3
HT 1-0
Chindia Targoviste
18/09/18
Romania Cup
CSM Flacara Moreni1-2
HT 1-0
Chindia Targoviste
26/01/17
Club Friendly List
Chindia Targoviste2-0
HT 2-0
CSM Flacara Moreni

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Flacara Moreni

LLDWWDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 FC Pucioasa
Romania Cup
3-0 7-0 50 W
24/07 Chindia Targoviste
Club Friendly List
6-0 W
22/05 Dunarea Calarasi
Romania Liga III
7-2 W
16/05 Inainte Modelu
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 77 L
09/05 Gloria Popesti Leordeni
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 54 D
02/05 FC Agricola Borcea
Romania Liga III
4-3 W
25/04 Dunarea Calarasi
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
17/04 Inainte Modelu
Romania Liga III
2-2 D
10/04 Gloria Popesti Leordeni
Romania Liga III
1-2 3-4 13 L
04/04 FC Agricola Borcea
Romania Liga III
0-5 L

Chindia Targoviste

LLWDDDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Romania Liga 2
1-0 3-1 123 W
04/08 Stiinta Poli Timisoara
Romania Liga 2
0-1 0-1 39 L
24/07 CSM Flacara Moreni
Club Friendly List
0-6 L
11/07 Petrolul Ploiesti
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 D
31/05 Farul Constanta
Romania Liga I Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 08 D
23/05 Farul Constanta
Romania Liga I Play-Offs
1-0 3-3 37 D
16/05 ACS Sepsi
Romania Liga 2
0-0 1-1 13 D
09/05 CS Corvinul Hunedoara
Romania Liga 2
0-0 1-0 11 W
05/05 FC Bihor Oradea
Romania Liga 2
0-2 1-3 22 L
01/05 CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Romania Liga 2
1-0 1-2 05 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Flacara Moreni vs Chindia Targoviste?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chindia Targoviste win (54%). Probabilities: CSM Flacara Moreni 22%, draw 23%, Chindia Targoviste 54%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Flacara Moreni vs Chindia Targoviste?

The model expects 3.59 goals (CSM Flacara Moreni 1.39 · Chindia Targoviste 2.2), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Flacara Moreni vs Chindia Targoviste?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.