Football · Cambodia Premier League · 05/09, 13:00
Prediction: Phnom Penh Crown vs Naga World FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Phnom Penh Crown1.93
Naga World FC0.9
1X2
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw
Naga World FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Phnom Penh Crown
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Naga World FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Phnom Penh Crown
4–2
Naga World FC
(6 last)
- Phnom Penh Crown3-0Naga World FC
- Naga World FC1-0Phnom Penh Crown
- Phnom Penh Crown2-1Naga World FC
- Naga World FC0-1Phnom Penh Crown
- Naga World FC2-4Phnom Penh Crown
- Phnom Penh Crown0-1Naga World FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Phnom Penh Crown 1490 · Naga World FC 1417
| Phnom Penh Crown | Draw | Naga World FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Phnom Penh Crown (rating 1490 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Phnom Penh Crown: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Phnom Penh Crown | Naga World FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.4 | 4.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Phnom Penh Crown 4–0–2 Naga World FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Cambodia Premier League | Phnom Penh Crown | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Naga World FC |
| 22/03/26 Cambodia Premier League | Naga World FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Phnom Penh Crown |
| 07/02/26 Cambodia Premier League | Phnom Penh Crown | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Naga World FC |
| 19/11/25 Cambodia Premier League | Naga World FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Phnom Penh Crown |
| 04/05/25 Cambodia Premier League | Naga World FC | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Phnom Penh Crown |
| 14/03/25 Cambodia Cup | Phnom Penh Crown | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Naga World FC |
Standings · Cambodia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angkor Tiger FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boeung Ket FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Life FC Sihanoukville | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Naga World FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Phnom Penh Crown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Svay Rieng FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tiffy Army FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Visakha FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Phnom Penh Crown | Naga World FC |
|---|---|---|
| Svay Rieng FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Boeung Ket FC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| MOI Kompong Dewa FC | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Angkor Tiger FC | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Phnom Penh Crown (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Phnom Penh Crown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 17 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Naga World FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/02 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Phnom Penh Crown vs Naga World FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Phnom Penh Crown win (61%). Probabilities: Phnom Penh Crown 61%, draw 23%, Naga World FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Phnom Penh Crown vs Naga World FC?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Phnom Penh Crown 1.93 · Naga World FC 0.9), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Phnom Penh Crown vs Naga World FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.