Football · Cambodia Premier League · 12/09, 13:00
Prediction: Svay Rieng FC vs Tiffy Army FC
Team pages: Svay Rieng FC · Tiffy Army FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.48Total
Svay Rieng FC3.24
Tiffy Army FC1.24
1X2
Svay Rieng FC
Draw
Tiffy Army FC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Svay Rieng FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Tiffy Army FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Svay Rieng FC
5–1–0
Tiffy Army FC
(6 last)
- Svay Rieng FC6-3Tiffy Army FC
- Tiffy Army FC1-6Svay Rieng FC
- Tiffy Army FC0-0Svay Rieng FC
- Svay Rieng FC7-0Tiffy Army FC
- Tiffy Army FC0-1Svay Rieng FC
- Svay Rieng FC1-0Tiffy Army FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Svay Rieng FC 1585 · Tiffy Army FC 1365
| Svay Rieng FC | Draw | Tiffy Army FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 87% | 8% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Svay Rieng FC (rating 1585 vs 1365).
- H2H favours Svay Rieng FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Svay Rieng FC | Tiffy Army FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 3.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Svay Rieng FC 5–1–0 Tiffy Army FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Cambodia Premier League | Svay Rieng FC | 6-3 HT 4-0 | Tiffy Army FC |
| 19/10/25 Cambodia Premier League | Tiffy Army FC | 1-6 HT 0-5 | Svay Rieng FC |
| 11/11/24 Cambodia Premier League | Tiffy Army FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Svay Rieng FC |
| 11/08/24 Cambodia Premier League | Svay Rieng FC | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Tiffy Army FC |
| 28/01/24 Cambodia Premier League | Tiffy Army FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Svay Rieng FC |
| 05/11/23 Cambodia Premier League | Svay Rieng FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tiffy Army FC |
Standings · Cambodia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Svay Rieng FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Boeung Ket FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Naga World FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Phnom Penh Crown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Angkor Tiger FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Life FC Sihanoukville | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Tiffy Army FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Svay Rieng FC | Tiffy Army FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Angkor Tiger FC | 3-4 L | 1-7 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Svay Rieng FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Svay Rieng FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Cambodia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/05 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/03 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Tiffy Army FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Visakha FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Visakha FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Life FC Sihanoukville Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Cambodia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Visakha FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/03 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Cambodia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/02 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Svay Rieng FC vs Tiffy Army FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Svay Rieng FC win (82%). Probabilities: Svay Rieng FC 82%, draw 11%, Tiffy Army FC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Svay Rieng FC vs Tiffy Army FC?
The model expects 4.48 goals (Svay Rieng FC 3.24 · Tiffy Army FC 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Svay Rieng FC vs Tiffy Army FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.