Football · Cambodia Premier League · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: Angkor Tiger FC vs Phnom Penh Crown

Team pages: Angkor Tiger FC · Phnom Penh Crown

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Angkor Tiger FC1.5

Phnom Penh Crown1.83

1X2

31% 24% 45%

Angkor Tiger FC Draw Phnom Penh Crown

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Angkor Tiger FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWWWD

Phnom Penh Crown 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Angkor Tiger FC 1–1–4 Phnom Penh Crown (6 last)

Phnom Penh Crown2-0Angkor Tiger FC
Angkor Tiger FC0-0Phnom Penh Crown
Angkor Tiger FC4-3Phnom Penh Crown
Phnom Penh Crown3-0Angkor Tiger FC
Phnom Penh Crown5-2Angkor Tiger FC
Angkor Tiger FC1-3Phnom Penh Crown

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angkor Tiger FC 1565 · Phnom Penh Crown 1486

	Angkor Tiger FC	Draw	Phnom Penh Crown
Our model	31%	25%	45%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angkor Tiger FC (rating 1565 vs 1486).
H2H favours Phnom Penh Crown: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Angkor Tiger FC	Phnom Penh Crown
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.8	3.6 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.70

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +5’	2.90	3.70	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Angkor Tiger FC 1–1–4 Phnom Penh Crown

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Cambodia Premier League	Phnom Penh Crown	2-0 HT 0-0	Angkor Tiger FC
28/02/26 Cambodia Premier League	Angkor Tiger FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Phnom Penh Crown
14/02/26 Cambodia Premier League	Angkor Tiger FC	4-3 HT 3-2	Phnom Penh Crown
14/12/25 Cambodia Premier League	Phnom Penh Crown	3-0 HT 1-0	Angkor Tiger FC
11/05/25 Cambodia Premier League	Phnom Penh Crown	5-2 HT 3-0	Angkor Tiger FC
30/03/25 Cambodia Premier League	Angkor Tiger FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Phnom Penh Crown

Standings · Cambodia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Visakha FC	1	1	0	0	6	1	3
2	Svay Rieng FC	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Boeung Ket FC	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
3	ISI Dangkor Senchey FC	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
5	Naga World FC	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	Phnom Penh Crown	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
7	Angkor Tiger FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
7	MOI Kompong Dewa FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Life FC Sihanoukville	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
11	Tiffy Army FC	1	0	0	1	1	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angkor Tiger FC	Phnom Penh Crown
MOI Kompong Dewa FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Naga World FC	4-1 W	2-2 D
Svay Rieng FC	4-3 W	2-1 W
Boeung Ket FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Angkor Tiger FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angkor Tiger FC

DLWWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
17/05	Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/05	MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
03/05	Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League	3-0	4-3	0	3	W
25/04	Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
12/04	Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
04/04	Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
22/03	MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
15/03	Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
08/03	Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D

Phnom Penh Crown

LLLLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League	1-2	2-2	9	4	D
17/05	Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League	2-1	2-1	3	1	W
10/05	Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
03/05	Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
25/04	MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
12/04	Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
04/04	Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League	0-2	1-4	7	7	L
22/03	Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
15/03	Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League	0-1	1-2	17	7	L
08/03	MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League	1-2	1-2	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angkor Tiger FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Phnom Penh Crown win (45%). Probabilities: Angkor Tiger FC 31%, draw 24%, Phnom Penh Crown 45%.

How many goals are expected in Angkor Tiger FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Angkor Tiger FC 1.5 · Phnom Penh Crown 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Angkor Tiger FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.