Football · Armenia Premier League · 14/08, 18:00
Prediction: Gandzasar Kapan vs Shirak
Team pages: Gandzasar Kapan · Shirak
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Gandzasar Kapan1.35
Shirak1.12
1X2
Gandzasar Kapan
Draw
Shirak
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gandzasar Kapan
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Shirak
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gandzasar Kapan
2–2–2
Shirak
(6 last)
- Gandzasar Kapan3-2Shirak
- Shirak1-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan1-1Shirak
- Gandzasar Kapan1-0Shirak
- Shirak0-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan1-2Shirak
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gandzasar Kapan 1426 · Shirak 1435
| Gandzasar Kapan | Draw | Shirak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 31% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gandzasar Kapan | Shirak | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gandzasar Kapan 2–2–2 Shirak
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Shirak |
| 22/11/25 Armenia Premier League | Shirak | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 30/08/25 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shirak |
| 17/05/25 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shirak |
| 31/10/24 Armenia Premier League | Shirak | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 27/09/24 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Shirak |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alashkert FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Noah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sardarapat FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ararat Armenia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Pyunik Yerevan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Gandzasar Kapan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 7 | Shirak | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Urartu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 9 | BKMA FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Ararat Yerevan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Syunik | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Van | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gandzasar Kapan | Shirak |
|---|---|---|
| Ararat Armenia | 3-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Alashkert FC | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Noah | 1-4 L | 3-4 L |
| FC Van | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| BKMA FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gandzasar Kapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Shirak
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/04 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gandzasar Kapan vs Shirak?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gandzasar Kapan win (40%). Probabilities: Gandzasar Kapan 40%, draw 30%, Shirak 29%.
How many goals are expected in Gandzasar Kapan vs Shirak?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Gandzasar Kapan 1.35 · Shirak 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gandzasar Kapan vs Shirak?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.