Football · Armenia Premier League · 21/08, 14:00

Prediction: Alashkert FC vs Gandzasar Kapan

Team pages: Alashkert FC · Gandzasar Kapan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Alashkert FC1.9
Gandzasar Kapan0.82
1X2
62% 23% 15%
Alashkert FC Draw Gandzasar Kapan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Alashkert FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDDDLWWL
Gandzasar Kapan 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Alashkert FC 4–2 Gandzasar Kapan (6 last)
  • Alashkert FC3-1Gandzasar Kapan
  • Gandzasar Kapan1-0Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC2-0Gandzasar Kapan
  • Gandzasar Kapan2-1Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC1-0Gandzasar Kapan
  • Gandzasar Kapan0-1Alashkert FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alashkert FC 1535 · Gandzasar Kapan 1434
Alashkert FCDrawGandzasar Kapan
Our model62%24%14%
Market62%23%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alashkert FC (rating 1535 vs 1434).
  • H2H favours Alashkert FC: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alashkert FCGandzasar Kapan
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.81.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.32 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.14.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alashkert FC 402 Gandzasar Kapan

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC3-1
HT 2-0
Gandzasar Kapan
03/11/25
Armenia Premier League
Gandzasar Kapan1-0
HT 0-0
Alashkert FC
21/09/25
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC2-0
HT 1-0
Gandzasar Kapan
17/09/25
Armenian Cup
Gandzasar Kapan2-1
HT 1-0
Alashkert FC
02/05/25
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC1-0
HT 0-0
Gandzasar Kapan
23/10/24
Armenia Premier League
Gandzasar Kapan0-1
HT 0-1
Alashkert FC

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 3300 839
2 Ararat Armenia 3300 849
3 Alashkert FC 3201 616
4 Sardarapat FC 2200 626
5 Pyunik Yerevan 2110 524
6 FC Urartu 3111 644
7 Shirak 3111 444
8 Gandzasar Kapan 3102 663
9 Ararat Yerevan 3102 363
10 BKMA FC 3012 151
11 Syunik 3003 190
11 FC Van 3003 190

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlashkert FCGandzasar Kapan
FC Noah 0-1 L 1-4 L
BKMA FC 3-0 W 1-1 D
Shirak 2-0 W 0-1 L
FC Van 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Alashkert FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alashkert FC

WWWDDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 36 L
10/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 40 W
03/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 3-0 57 W
30/07 CFR Cluj
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-2 0-3 53 L
23/07 CFR Cluj
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-0 1-1 66 D
16/07 FC Elimai Semey
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-1 1-1 126 D
09/07 FC Elimai Semey
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-1 116 D
26/05 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
2-0 2-0 24 W
16/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 94 W
09/05 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-1 W

Gandzasar Kapan

DWLLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 83 L
08/08 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
1-0 3-1 35 W
01/08 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
1-2 3-4 27 L
27/05 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 33 L
18/05 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-2 31 L
09/05 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 1-3 L
06/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-1 1-4 54 L
02/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-1 79 L
26/04 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-2 3-2 73 W
19/04 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-1 74 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alashkert FC vs Gandzasar Kapan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alashkert FC win (62%). Probabilities: Alashkert FC 62%, draw 23%, Gandzasar Kapan 15%.

How many goals are expected in Alashkert FC vs Gandzasar Kapan?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Alashkert FC 1.9 · Gandzasar Kapan 0.82), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alashkert FC vs Gandzasar Kapan?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.