Football · Armenia Premier League · 21/08, 17:00

Prediction: Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan

Team pages: Ararat Yerevan · Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Ararat Yerevan0.58
Pyunik Yerevan2.02
1X2
9% 19% 71%
Ararat Yerevan Draw Pyunik Yerevan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Ararat Yerevan 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLDLLW
Pyunik Yerevan 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDLWWLDDW
Head-to-head
Ararat Yerevan 1–5 Pyunik Yerevan (6 last)
  • Ararat Yerevan1-0Pyunik Yerevan
  • Pyunik Yerevan2-0Ararat Yerevan
  • Ararat Yerevan0-2Pyunik Yerevan
  • Pyunik Yerevan5-2Ararat Yerevan
  • Ararat Yerevan0-2Pyunik Yerevan
  • Pyunik Yerevan3-0Ararat Yerevan
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ararat Yerevan 1450 · Pyunik Yerevan 1547
Ararat YerevanDrawPyunik Yerevan
Our model9%21%71%
Market10%18%72%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1450 vs 1547).
  • H2H favours Pyunik Yerevan: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ararat YerevanPyunik Yerevan
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.21.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.92.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 02.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ararat Yerevan 105 Pyunik Yerevan

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Armenia Premier League
Ararat Yerevan1-0
HT 0-0
Pyunik Yerevan
30/11/25
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan2-0
HT 0-0
Ararat Yerevan
22/08/25
Armenia Premier League
Ararat Yerevan0-2
HT 0-0
Pyunik Yerevan
17/05/25
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan5-2
HT 2-1
Ararat Yerevan
02/11/24
Armenia Premier League
Ararat Yerevan0-2
HT 0-1
Pyunik Yerevan
28/09/24
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan3-0
HT 2-0
Ararat Yerevan

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 3300 839
2 Ararat Armenia 3300 849
3 Alashkert FC 3201 616
4 Sardarapat FC 2200 626
5 Pyunik Yerevan 2110 524
6 FC Urartu 3111 644
7 Shirak 3111 444
8 Gandzasar Kapan 3102 663
9 Ararat Yerevan 3102 363
10 BKMA FC 3012 151
11 Syunik 3003 190
11 FC Van 3003 190

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentArarat YerevanPyunik Yerevan
FC Noah 3-8 L 0-0 D
FC Urartu 0-1 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pyunik Yerevan (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ararat Yerevan

LWLWLLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
1-1 2-1 82 W
07/08 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 1-2 116 L
03/08 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-3 57 L
26/05 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-1 95 D
19/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
1-3 3-8 05 L
10/05 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 36 L
01/05 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 2-0 65 W
25/04 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-2 0-4 33 L
18/04 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-0 29 W
14/04 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-1 0-2 23 L

Pyunik Yerevan

DWDLWWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 61 W
02/08 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-2 33 D
30/07 Debreceni VSC
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 0-0 73 D
23/07 Debreceni VSC
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 0-1 44 L
16/07 Marsaxlokk FC
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 106 W
09/07 Marsaxlokk FC
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-0 3-0 42 W
01/07 CS Corvinul Hunedoara
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 54 L
23/06 NK Aluminij
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 52 D
27/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
1-1 2-1 72 W
23/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pyunik Yerevan win (71%). Probabilities: Ararat Yerevan 9%, draw 19%, Pyunik Yerevan 71%.

How many goals are expected in Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Ararat Yerevan 0.58 · Pyunik Yerevan 2.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ararat Yerevan vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.