Prediction: Ararat Armenia vs FC Van
Team pages: Ararat Armenia · FC Van
See it on the live radar ↗- FC Van2-2Ararat Armenia
- Ararat Armenia3-0FC Van
- FC Van0-0Ararat Armenia
- FC Van2-3Ararat Armenia
- Ararat Armenia1-1FC Van
- FC Van0-2Ararat Armenia
| Ararat Armenia | Draw | FC Van | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ararat Armenia (rating 1563 vs 1422).
- H2H favours Ararat Armenia: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ararat Armenia | FC Van | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ararat Armenia 3–3–0 FC Van
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Armenia Premier League | FC Van | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Ararat Armenia |
| 16/03/26 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Armenia | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Van |
| 04/08/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Van | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ararat Armenia |
| 20/04/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Van | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Ararat Armenia |
| 10/03/25 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Armenia | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Van |
| 04/08/24 Armenia Premier League | FC Van | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ararat Armenia |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alashkert FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Noah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sardarapat FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ararat Armenia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Pyunik Yerevan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Urartu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Shirak | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gandzasar Kapan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | BKMA FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Ararat Yerevan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Van | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | Syunik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ararat Armenia | FC Van |
|---|---|---|
| FC Urartu | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Gandzasar Kapan | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ararat Armenia (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ararat Armenia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | NK Celje UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | NK Celje UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/07 | Shamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Shamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Riga FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 07/07 | Riga FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Vojvodina Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
FC Van
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ararat Armenia vs FC Van?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ararat Armenia win (77%). Probabilities: Ararat Armenia 77%, draw 15%, FC Van 8%.
How many goals are expected in Ararat Armenia vs FC Van?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Ararat Armenia 2.61 · FC Van 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ararat Armenia vs FC Van?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.