Football · Romania Liga 2 · 29/08, 10:00

Prediction: Gloria Bistrita vs CSM Satu Mare

Team pages: Gloria Bistrita · CSM Satu Mare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Gloria Bistrita1.78

CSM Satu Mare0.87

1X2

58% 24% 18%

Gloria Bistrita Draw CSM Satu Mare

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gloria Bistrita 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWWWLL

CSM Satu Mare 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDDLLD

Head-to-head

Gloria Bistrita 3–1–2 CSM Satu Mare (6 last)

Gloria Bistrita0-1CSM Satu Mare
CSM Satu Mare0-2Gloria Bistrita
Gloria Bistrita3-2CSM Satu Mare
CSM Satu Mare0-0Gloria Bistrita
CSM Satu Mare1-0Gloria Bistrita
Gloria Bistrita1-0CSM Satu Mare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gloria Bistrita 1507 · CSM Satu Mare 1512

	Gloria Bistrita	Draw	CSM Satu Mare
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	59%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gloria Bistrita: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gloria Bistrita	CSM Satu Mare
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.2	2.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.90

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +10’	1.53	3.90	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gloria Bistrita 3–1–2 CSM Satu Mare

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Romania Liga 2	Gloria Bistrita	0-1 HT 0-0	CSM Satu Mare
06/05/23 Romania Liga III	CSM Satu Mare	0-2	Gloria Bistrita
22/04/23 Romania Liga III	Gloria Bistrita	3-2	CSM Satu Mare
01/04/23 Romania Liga III	CSM Satu Mare	0-0	Gloria Bistrita
26/11/22 Romania Liga III	CSM Satu Mare	1-0 HT 0-0	Gloria Bistrita
23/09/22 Romania Liga III	Gloria Bistrita	1-0 HT 1-0	CSM Satu Mare

Standings · Romania Liga 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	4	4	0	0	10	2	12
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
3	Scolar Resita	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
4	CS Concordia Chiajna	4	3	0	1	8	7	9
5	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
6	FC Bacau	4	2	1	1	10	5	7
7	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	AFC Metalul Buzau	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
9	Chindia Targoviste	4	2	0	2	7	4	6
10	Gloria Bistrita	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
11	Cetate Suceava	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
12	CS Stefanesti	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
13	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
14	ASA Targu Mures	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
15	CS Afumati	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
16	CSC Dumbravita	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
17	FC Bihor Oradea	4	0	3	1	2	4	3
18	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	4	1	0	3	4	9	3
19	CSC 1599 Selimbar	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
20	CSM Satu Mare	4	0	2	2	1	5	2
21	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	4	0	1	3	4	9	1
22	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gloria Bistrita	CSM Satu Mare
CS Concordia Chiajna	1-2 L	2-2 D
CSC 1599 Selimbar	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Satu Mare (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gloria Bistrita

WLDLDWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
15/08	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-2	5	9	L
07/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-0	3-0	1	5	W
01/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
09/05	Muscelul Campulung Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
02/05	CSM Politehnica Iasi Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
10/04	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
04/04	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

CSM Satu Mare

WWWWDDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
15/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
08/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
05/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
09/05	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
02/05	CS Tunari Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
25/04	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-1	3-1	5	3	W
18/04	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
10/04	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
04/04	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-2	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gloria Bistrita vs CSM Satu Mare?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gloria Bistrita win (58%). Probabilities: Gloria Bistrita 58%, draw 24%, CSM Satu Mare 18%.

How many goals are expected in Gloria Bistrita vs CSM Satu Mare?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Gloria Bistrita 1.78 · CSM Satu Mare 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gloria Bistrita vs CSM Satu Mare?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.