Football · Romania Liga 2 · 05/09, 10:00

Prediction: CSC 1599 Selimbar vs AFC Metalul Buzau

Team pages: CSC 1599 Selimbar · AFC Metalul Buzau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

CSC 1599 Selimbar0.9

AFC Metalul Buzau1.37

1X2

24% 28% 48%

CSC 1599 Selimbar Draw AFC Metalul Buzau

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSC 1599 Selimbar 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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AFC Metalul Buzau 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CSC 1599 Selimbar 0–2 AFC Metalul Buzau (2 last)

AFC Metalul Buzau1-0CSC 1599 Selimbar
AFC Metalul Buzau2-0CSC 1599 Selimbar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSC 1599 Selimbar 1465 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1558

	CSC 1599 Selimbar	Draw	AFC Metalul Buzau
Our model	23%	30%	47%
Market	25%	27%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Metalul Buzau (rating 1465 vs 1558).
H2H favours AFC Metalul Buzau: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSC 1599 Selimbar	AFC Metalul Buzau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	3.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.30

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.49
2	1.70 → 1.85▲	Pinn 2.01 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +1’	4.10	3.40	1.70
15:22 +16’	3.60▼	3.30▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:38	3.11	3.49	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSC 1599 Selimbar 0–0–2 AFC Metalul Buzau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/25 Romania Liga 2	AFC Metalul Buzau	1-0 HT 1-0	CSC 1599 Selimbar
03/11/24 Romania Liga 2	AFC Metalul Buzau	2-0 HT 2-0	CSC 1599 Selimbar

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
2	CSM Slatina	5	4	1	0	10	2	13
3	CS Concordia Chiajna	5	4	0	1	11	8	12
4	Scolar Resita	5	4	0	1	9	6	12
5	Chindia Targoviste	5	3	0	2	10	5	9
6	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	5	2	3	0	10	6	9
7	Gloria Bistrita	5	3	0	2	7	4	9
8	FC Bacau	5	2	2	1	10	5	8
9	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
10	Cetate Suceava	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
12	AFC Metalul Buzau	5	2	1	2	5	6	7
13	CS Afumati	5	2	1	2	6	9	7
14	FC Bihor Oradea	5	1	3	1	6	4	6
15	CS Stefanesti	5	2	0	3	4	10	6
16	CSC 1599 Selimbar	5	1	2	2	5	7	5
17	ASA Targu Mures	5	1	1	3	3	8	4
18	CSC Dumbravita	5	0	3	2	4	6	3
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	5	1	0	4	4	10	3
20	CSM Satu Mare	5	0	2	3	1	6	2
21	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	5	0	1	4	5	11	1
22	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	5	0	1	4	3	9	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSC 1599 Selimbar	AFC Metalul Buzau
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	1-0 W	1-0 W
CS Afumati	1-1 D	3-1 W
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	1-3 L	0-0 D
Gloria Bistrita	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Metalul Buzau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSC 1599 Selimbar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
23/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
08/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
01/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-2	1	2	L
23/05	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	8	2	W
16/05	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
09/05	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
02/05	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
25/04	CS Tunari Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-2	6	6	L

AFC Metalul Buzau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-3	7	7	L
22/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
15/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
08/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-1	3-1	4	4	W
01/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
09/05	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
02/05	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
25/04	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	CSM Politehnica Iasi Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
10/04	Muscelul Campulung Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSC 1599 Selimbar vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Metalul Buzau win (48%). Probabilities: CSC 1599 Selimbar 24%, draw 28%, AFC Metalul Buzau 48%.

How many goals are expected in CSC 1599 Selimbar vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model expects 2.27 goals (CSC 1599 Selimbar 0.9 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSC 1599 Selimbar vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.