Football · Romania Liga 2 · 05/09, 10:00

Prediction: CS Concordia Chiajna vs CS Afumati

Team pages: CS Concordia Chiajna · CS Afumati

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

CS Concordia Chiajna1.97

CS Afumati1.22

1X2

53% 25% 22%

CS Concordia Chiajna Draw CS Afumati

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Concordia Chiajna 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWWWLW

CS Afumati 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWLLDW

Head-to-head

CS Concordia Chiajna 3–2 CS Afumati (5 last)

CS Afumati1-0CS Concordia Chiajna
CS Afumati1-2CS Concordia Chiajna
CS Concordia Chiajna4-0CS Afumati
CS Concordia Chiajna2-4CS Afumati
CS Afumati0-1CS Concordia Chiajna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Concordia Chiajna 1609 · CS Afumati 1461

	CS Concordia Chiajna	Draw	CS Afumati
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Concordia Chiajna (rating 1609 vs 1461).
H2H favours CS Concordia Chiajna: 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Concordia Chiajna	CS Afumati
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.78 ★
2	3.90 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.47

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +29’	1.75	3.50	3.90
15:32 +6’	1.70▼	3.50	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +1’	1.62	3.78	4.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Concordia Chiajna 3–0–2 CS Afumati

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Concordia Chiajna
27/09/25 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	1-2 HT 1-0	CS Concordia Chiajna
26/04/25 Romania Liga 2	CS Concordia Chiajna	4-0 HT 2-0	CS Afumati
03/08/24 Romania Liga 2	CS Concordia Chiajna	2-4 HT 2-3	CS Afumati
16/08/23 Romania Cup	CS Afumati	0-1 HT 0-0	CS Concordia Chiajna

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
2	CSM Slatina	5	4	1	0	10	2	13
3	CS Concordia Chiajna	5	4	0	1	11	8	12
4	Scolar Resita	5	4	0	1	9	6	12
5	Chindia Targoviste	5	3	0	2	10	5	9
6	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	5	2	3	0	10	6	9
7	Gloria Bistrita	5	3	0	2	7	4	9
8	FC Bacau	5	2	2	1	10	5	8
9	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
10	Cetate Suceava	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
12	AFC Metalul Buzau	5	2	1	2	5	6	7
13	CS Afumati	5	2	1	2	6	9	7
14	FC Bihor Oradea	5	1	3	1	6	4	6
15	CS Stefanesti	5	2	0	3	4	10	6
16	CSC 1599 Selimbar	5	1	2	2	5	7	5
17	ASA Targu Mures	5	1	1	3	3	8	4
18	CSC Dumbravita	5	0	3	2	4	6	3
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	5	1	0	4	4	10	3
20	CSM Satu Mare	5	0	2	3	1	6	2
21	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	5	0	1	4	5	11	1
22	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	5	0	1	4	3	9	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Concordia Chiajna	CS Afumati
CSM Satu Mare	2-2 D	1-3 L
FC Bacau	2-0 W	1-3 L
Scolar Resita	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CS Concordia Chiajna (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Concordia Chiajna

DWWLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
22/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
15/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	9	W
08/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
01/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
09/05	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	3	9	D
02/05	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
25/04	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
18/04	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/04	CS Tunari Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	13	5	D

CS Afumati

DLLWLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
08/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
01/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	9	5	W
09/05	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
02/05	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
25/04	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
18/04	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
10/04	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Concordia Chiajna vs CS Afumati?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Concordia Chiajna win (53%). Probabilities: CS Concordia Chiajna 53%, draw 25%, CS Afumati 22%.

How many goals are expected in CS Concordia Chiajna vs CS Afumati?

The model expects 3.19 goals (CS Concordia Chiajna 1.97 · CS Afumati 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Concordia Chiajna vs CS Afumati?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.