Football · Romania Liga 2 · 31/10, 10:00

Prediction: CSM Satu Mare vs CSC 1599 Selimbar

Team pages: CSM Satu Mare · CSC 1599 Selimbar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

CSM Satu Mare1.4

CSC 1599 Selimbar1.13

1X2

42% 28% 29%

CSM Satu Mare Draw CSC 1599 Selimbar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Satu Mare 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDLDDL

CSC 1599 Selimbar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLLLLW

Head-to-head

CSM Satu Mare 1–1–0 CSC 1599 Selimbar (2 last)

CSM Satu Mare4-0CSC 1599 Selimbar
CSC 1599 Selimbar1-1CSM Satu Mare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Satu Mare 1439 · CSC 1599 Selimbar 1424

	CSM Satu Mare	Draw	CSC 1599 Selimbar
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSM Satu Mare	CSC 1599 Selimbar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.37
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.78 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +9’	2.10	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +25’	1.86	3.37	3.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Satu Mare 1–1–0 CSC 1599 Selimbar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Romania Liga 2	CSM Satu Mare	4-0 HT 1-0	CSC 1599 Selimbar
20/09/25 Romania Liga 2	CSC 1599 Selimbar	1-1 HT 0-0	CSM Satu Mare

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	11	8	3	0	21	8	27
2	CSM Slatina	11	8	1	2	19	10	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	27	14	24
4	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	11	7	3	1	26	15	24
5	Cetate Suceava	11	6	3	2	22	12	21
6	AFC Metalul Buzau	11	6	3	2	13	7	21
7	Scolar Resita	11	7	0	4	16	13	21
8	CS Concordia Chiajna	11	6	1	4	26	18	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	22	10	18
10	FC Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	18	10	18
11	Gloria Bistrita	11	6	0	5	15	14	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
14	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	14	21	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	11	3	2	6	10	17	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	11	2	4	5	13	19	10
17	CSC 1599 Selimbar	11	2	3	6	8	20	9
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	11	2	2	7	14	15	8
19	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	11	2	1	8	16	32	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	7	15	6
21	CS Stefanesti	11	2	0	9	7	26	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	11	0	3	8	7	23	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Satu Mare	CSC 1599 Selimbar
Chindia Targoviste	2-3 L	0-4 L
AFC Metalul Buzau	0-0 D	1-1 D
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	2-2 D	1-0 W
CS Afumati	0-2 L	1-1 D
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	1-1 D	1-3 L
Stiinta Poli Timisoara	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Satu Mare

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	2-3	3	2	L
17/10	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
10/10	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-1	2-2	7	9	D
19/09	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
12/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
22/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
15/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
08/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-2	7	5	L

CSC 1599 Selimbar

DLDWDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
17/10	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-5	7	6	L
10/10	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
19/09	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
13/09	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-4	0	7	L
05/09	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
29/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
23/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
08/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Satu Mare vs CSC 1599 Selimbar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Satu Mare win (42%). Probabilities: CSM Satu Mare 42%, draw 28%, CSC 1599 Selimbar 29%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Satu Mare vs CSC 1599 Selimbar?

The model expects 2.52 goals (CSM Satu Mare 1.4 · CSC 1599 Selimbar 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Satu Mare vs CSC 1599 Selimbar?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.