Football · Romania Cup · 05/08, 16:30

Prediction: Dunarea Giurgiu vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Dunarea Giurgiu1.16
Cetatea Turnu Magurele2.31
1X2
18% 20% 63%
Dunarea Giurgiu Draw Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Dunarea Giurgiu 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWWWDL
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLWLLLWW
Head-to-head
Dunarea Giurgiu 1–1–4 Cetatea Turnu Magurele (6 last)
  • Dunarea Giurgiu2-4Cetatea Turnu Magurele
  • Cetatea Turnu Magurele1-1Dunarea Giurgiu
  • Dunarea Giurgiu2-5Cetatea Turnu Magurele
  • Cetatea Turnu Magurele3-0Dunarea Giurgiu
  • Dunarea Giurgiu2-0Cetatea Turnu Magurele
  • Cetatea Turnu Magurele4-0Dunarea Giurgiu
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunarea Giurgiu 1480 · Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1505
Dunarea GiurgiuDrawCetatea Turnu Magurele
Our model17%21%62%
Market18%19%63%
Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cetatea Turnu Magurele: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 13.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dunarea GiurgiuCetatea Turnu Magurele
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.21.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 7.41 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.27.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunarea Giurgiu 114 Cetatea Turnu Magurele

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/12/25
Romania Liga III
Dunarea Giurgiu2-4
HT 1-1
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
26/09/25
Romania Liga III
Cetatea Turnu Magurele1-1Dunarea Giurgiu
24/05/25
Romania Liga III
Dunarea Giurgiu2-5
HT 2-1
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
18/04/25
Romania Liga III
Cetatea Turnu Magurele3-0Dunarea Giurgiu
07/12/24
Romania Liga III
Dunarea Giurgiu2-0Cetatea Turnu Magurele
04/10/24
Romania Liga III
Cetatea Turnu Magurele4-0Dunarea Giurgiu

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDunarea GiurgiuCetatea Turnu Magurele
CSM Alexandria 1-0 W 1-1 D
CSL Nanov 6-0 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dunarea Giurgiu (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunarea Giurgiu

WLLLLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/05 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-4 67 L
01/05 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 56 D
24/04 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
17/04 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
6-0 W
10/04 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 1310 W
03/04 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-2 114 L
27/03 CS U Craiova II
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
20/03 ACS LPS HD Clinceni
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-3 24 L
13/03 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
06/03 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
2-0 W

Cetatea Turnu Magurele

DWLLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/05 CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Romania Liga III
4-2 W
16/05 Jiul Petrosani
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
08/05 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-3 211 L
02/05 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-2 15 L
24/04 CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-3 311 L
17/04 Jiul Petrosani
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
10/04 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Romania Liga III
0-3 1-4 73 L
03/04 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
27/03 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
4-0 W
20/03 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-1 18 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunarea Giurgiu vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cetatea Turnu Magurele win (63%). Probabilities: Dunarea Giurgiu 18%, draw 20%, Cetatea Turnu Magurele 63%.

How many goals are expected in Dunarea Giurgiu vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Dunarea Giurgiu 1.16 · Cetatea Turnu Magurele 2.31), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunarea Giurgiu vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.