Football · Tanzania Premier League · 09/10, 18:00

Prediction: Dodoma Jiji FC vs Singida Black Stars

Team pages: Dodoma Jiji FC · Singida Black Stars

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Dodoma Jiji FC0.64

Singida Black Stars1.74

1X2

12% 25% 63%

Dodoma Jiji FC Draw Singida Black Stars

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Dodoma Jiji FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLLWWW

Singida Black Stars 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLWWL

Head-to-head

Dodoma Jiji FC 2–1–3 Singida Black Stars (6 last)

Singida Black Stars5-0Dodoma Jiji FC
Dodoma Jiji FC1-1Singida Black Stars
Dodoma Jiji FC1-2Singida Black Stars
Singida Black Stars2-1Dodoma Jiji FC
Singida Black Stars0-2Dodoma Jiji FC
Dodoma Jiji FC1-0Singida Black Stars

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dodoma Jiji FC 1489 · Singida Black Stars 1549

	Dodoma Jiji FC	Draw	Singida Black Stars
Our model	12%	25%	63%
Market	12%	25%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Singida Black Stars (rating 1489 vs 1549).
H2H favours Singida Black Stars: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dodoma Jiji FC	Singida Black Stars
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.9	3.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.50

X3.60

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50
X	3.00 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 1.44▼	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +5’	3.30	3.00	2.10
14:28 +29’	7.50▲	3.60▲	1.44▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dodoma Jiji FC 2–1–3 Singida Black Stars

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Black Stars	5-0 HT 3-0	Dodoma Jiji FC
16/01/26 Tanzania Premier League	Dodoma Jiji FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Singida Black Stars
18/06/25 Tanzania Premier League	Dodoma Jiji FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Singida Black Stars
12/12/24 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Black Stars	2-1 HT 2-0	Dodoma Jiji FC
25/05/24 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Black Stars	0-2 HT 0-1	Dodoma Jiji FC
18/12/23 Tanzania Premier League	Dodoma Jiji FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Singida Black Stars

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	16	2	18
2	Simba Sports Club	6	6	0	0	11	2	18
3	Azam FC	7	4	2	1	11	7	14
4	Mashujaa FC	7	4	0	3	8	7	12
5	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	13	9	10
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6	4	10
7	Polisi Tanzania FC	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
8	Dodoma Jiji FC	6	3	1	2	4	4	10
9	Namungo FC	8	3	0	5	7	11	9
10	Geita Gold	7	2	1	4	9	12	7
11	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
12	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6	9	7
13	TRA United	7	1	3	3	6	7	6
14	Pamba SC	7	1	1	5	8	13	4
15	Singida Fountain Gate FC	6	1	1	4	2	9	4
16	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	5	14	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dodoma Jiji FC	Singida Black Stars
Namungo FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
Mashujaa FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Polisi Tanzania FC	0-1 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dodoma Jiji FC

LDDLDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
04/09	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/08	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
25/08	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
19/08	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
14/08	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
30/06	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
27/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
24/06	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
17/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-3	0-5	3	1	L

Singida Black Stars

WWLLWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
01/09	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
29/08	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	3-2	4-2	9	2	W
22/08	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
19/08	Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
14/08	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/06	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
27/06	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
24/06	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	2-0	3-1	3	1	W
17/06	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	3-0	5-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dodoma Jiji FC vs Singida Black Stars?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Singida Black Stars win (63%). Probabilities: Dodoma Jiji FC 12%, draw 25%, Singida Black Stars 63%.

How many goals are expected in Dodoma Jiji FC vs Singida Black Stars?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Dodoma Jiji FC 0.64 · Singida Black Stars 1.74), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Dodoma Jiji FC vs Singida Black Stars?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.