Football · Tanzania Premier League · 08/10, 17:30

Prediction: Namungo FC vs TRA United

Team pages: Namungo FC · TRA United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

Namungo FC0.75

TRA United1.21

1X2

22% 32% 46%

Namungo FC Draw TRA United

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Namungo FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLLLL

TRA United 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDDLDLDW

Head-to-head

Namungo FC 1–1–4 TRA United (6 last)

Namungo FC0-0TRA United
Namungo FC0-2TRA United
TRA United2-0Namungo FC
TRA United2-1Namungo FC
Namungo FC1-2TRA United
Namungo FC3-2TRA United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Namungo FC 1462 · TRA United 1504

	Namungo FC	Draw	TRA United
Our model	21%	33%	46%
Market	22%	31%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TRA United (rating 1462 vs 1504).
H2H favours TRA United: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Namungo FC	TRA United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	2.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.00

X2.90

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
X	2.80 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90
2	2.30 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:04 +13’	3.10	2.80	2.30
15:03 +8’	4.00▲	2.90▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Namungo FC 1–1–4 TRA United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/26 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	0-0 HT 0-0	TRA United
12/04/26 Tanzania Cup	Namungo FC	0-2 HT 0-1	TRA United
11/03/26 Tanzania Premier League	TRA United	2-0 HT 0-0	Namungo FC
05/02/25 Tanzania Premier League	TRA United	2-1 HT 1-1	Namungo FC
25/08/24 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	1-2 HT 0-0	TRA United
28/05/24 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	3-2	TRA United

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	16	2	18
2	Simba Sports Club	6	6	0	0	11	2	18
3	Azam FC	7	4	2	1	11	7	14
4	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	13	9	10
5	Polisi Tanzania FC	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6	4	10
7	Dodoma Jiji FC	6	3	1	2	4	4	10
8	Mashujaa FC	6	3	0	3	6	6	9
9	Geita Gold	6	2	1	3	9	8	7
10	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6	9	7
12	TRA United	6	1	3	2	6	6	6
13	Namungo FC	7	2	0	5	6	11	6
14	Singida Fountain Gate FC	6	1	1	4	2	9	4
15	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	5	14	2
16	Pamba SC	6	0	1	5	4	13	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Namungo FC	TRA United
Dodoma Jiji FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Azam FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
JKT Tanzania	1-2 L	1-1 D
Young Africans	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TRA United (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Namungo FC

WDWLWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
07/09	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
01/09	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
29/08	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/08	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
18/08	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
15/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-3	1	2	L
30/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/06	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
24/06	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	2-1	3-2	11	0	W

TRA United

DDLDDLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	0	W
04/09	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
29/08	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
24/08	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/06	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
24/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
16/06	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Namungo FC vs TRA United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TRA United win (46%). Probabilities: Namungo FC 22%, draw 32%, TRA United 46%.

How many goals are expected in Namungo FC vs TRA United?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Namungo FC 0.75 · TRA United 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Namungo FC vs TRA United?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.