Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 10/11, 02:00

Prediction: AD Rosario vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Team pages: AD Rosario · Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
AD Rosario1.7
Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.36
1X2
45% 25% 30%
AD Rosario Draw Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AD Rosario 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWDWLW
Pitbulls Santa Barbara 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDDDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Rosario 1544 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1504
AD RosarioDrawPitbulls Santa Barbara
Our model45%26%30%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Rosario (rating 1544 vs 1504).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AD RosarioPitbulls Santa Barbara
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.41.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.41.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.5 / 0.55 / 0.5

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santa Ana 14905 221527
2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara 14653 232223
3 Cariari Pococi 14644 171322
4 Guadalupe FC 14635 192021
5 FC Moravia 14617 211519
6 FC Aserri 14545 171819
7 AD Carmelita 14446 211916
8 CS Uruguay de Coronado 14239 12309

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Rosario

WWLWDWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 AD Cofutpa
Costa Rica Segunda
3-1 5-1 68 W
25/10 AD Sarchi
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-3 710 L
18/10 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 108 W
12/10 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-2 75 D
04/10 Quepos Cambute FC
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-0 36 W
20/09 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-1 79 D
13/09 AD Cofutpa
Costa Rica Segunda
1-1 2-1 08 W
06/09 AD Sarchi
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 1-2 58 L
30/08 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 37 W
24/08 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 3-2 61 W

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

WWWLDDDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 FC Moravia
Costa Rica Segunda
0-4 0-4 53 L
27/10 AD Carmelita
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 2-1 52 W
18/10 Santa Ana
Costa Rica Segunda
0-2 1-2 34 L
13/10 FC Aserri
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 2-2 57 D
03/10 CS Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 2-2 68 D
27/09 Guadalupe FC
Costa Rica Segunda
1-1 2-2 35 D
24/09 Cariari Pococi
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 1-2 48 L
22/09 Cariari Pococi
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 1-0 75 W
15/09 FC Moravia
Costa Rica Segunda
2-1 3-2 24 W
07/09 AD Carmelita
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 39 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Rosario vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Rosario win (45%). Probabilities: AD Rosario 45%, draw 25%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara 30%.

How many goals are expected in AD Rosario vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model expects 3.06 goals (AD Rosario 1.7 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.36), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Rosario vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.