Prediction: Eastern SC vs North District
Team pages: Eastern SC · North District
- Eastern SC3-1North District
- North District0-3Eastern SC
- Eastern SC1-4North District
- North District0-1Eastern SC
- North District1-3Eastern SC
- Eastern SC2-1North District
| Eastern SC | Draw | North District | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North District (rating 1486 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Eastern SC: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern SC | North District | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern SC 5–0–1 North District
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern SC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | North District |
| 14/02/26 Hong Kong Premier League | North District | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Eastern SC |
| 28/01/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern SC | 1-4 HT 1-1 | North District |
| 11/05/25 Hong Kong Premier League | North District | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eastern SC |
| 15/12/24 Hong Kong Sapling Cup | North District | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Eastern SC |
| 10/11/24 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | North District |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | North District | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Southern District | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Eastern District | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 8 | Shatin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 9 | HK Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| 10 | Kowloon City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | Hong Kong FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastern SC | North District |
|---|---|---|
| HK Rangers FC | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Tai Po | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Shatin | 1-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Kitchee | 4-4 D | 0-0 D |
| Lee Man FC | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: North District (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastern SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
3-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
North District
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastern SC vs North District?
According to our model, the most likely result is an North District win (53%). Probabilities: Eastern SC 26%, draw 22%, North District 53%.
How many goals are expected in Eastern SC vs North District?
The model expects 3.93 goals (Eastern SC 1.61 · North District 2.32), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastern SC vs North District?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.