Football · Hong Kong Premier League · 11/10, 10:00
Prediction: HK Rangers FC vs Lee Man FC
Team pages: HK Rangers FC · Lee Man FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
HK Rangers FC0.88
Lee Man FC2.49
1X2
HK Rangers FC
Draw
Lee Man FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
HK Rangers FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Lee Man FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HK Rangers FC
2–1–3
Lee Man FC
(6 last)
- HK Rangers FC3-3Lee Man FC
- Lee Man FC2-0HK Rangers FC
- HK Rangers FC1-2Lee Man FC
- HK Rangers FC3-0Lee Man FC
- Lee Man FC1-2HK Rangers FC
- HK Rangers FC1-2Lee Man FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HK Rangers FC 1392 · Lee Man FC 1600
| HK Rangers FC | Draw | Lee Man FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Market | 12% | 15% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lee Man FC (rating 1392 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Lee Man FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HK Rangers FC | Lee Man FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Rangers FC 2–1–3 Lee Man FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Hong Kong Cup | HK Rangers FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Lee Man FC |
| 04/03/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Lee Man FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | HK Rangers FC |
| 14/12/25 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Lee Man FC |
| 25/05/25 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Lee Man FC |
| 01/03/25 Hong Kong Cup | Lee Man FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | HK Rangers FC |
| 19/01/25 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lee Man FC |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | North District | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Southern District | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Eastern District | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 8 | Shatin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 9 | HK Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| 10 | Kowloon City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | Hong Kong FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HK Rangers FC | Lee Man FC |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern SC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| North District | 0-5 L | 4-2 W |
| Tai Po | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Eastern District | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Kitchee | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Hong Kong FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Kowloon City | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lee Man FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HK Rangers FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Lee Man FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 18/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HK Rangers FC vs Lee Man FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lee Man FC win (73%). Probabilities: HK Rangers FC 11%, draw 16%, Lee Man FC 73%.
How many goals are expected in HK Rangers FC vs Lee Man FC?
The model expects 3.37 goals (HK Rangers FC 0.88 · Lee Man FC 2.49), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HK Rangers FC vs Lee Man FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.