Football · UAE Division 1 · 21/08, 17:15

Prediction: Dubai City vs Dibba Al Fujairah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Dubai City0.66

Dibba Al Fujairah2.54

1X2

7% 15% 78%

Dubai City Draw Dibba Al Fujairah

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Dubai City 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLDLL

Dibba Al Fujairah 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Dubai City 0–4 Dibba Al Fujairah (4 last)

Dibba Al Fujairah2-0Dubai City
Dibba Al Fujairah4-0Dubai City
Dibba Al Fujairah5-1Dubai City
Dibba Al Fujairah2-1Dubai City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dubai City 1430 · Dibba Al Fujairah 1442

	Dubai City	Draw	Dibba Al Fujairah
Our model	7%	16%	77%
Market	8%	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dibba Al Fujairah: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dubai City	Dibba Al Fujairah
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.4	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 1.9	1.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

112.00

X6.50

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.80

2 (-2.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:56 +2’	12.00	6.50	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dubai City 0–0–4 Dibba Al Fujairah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/24 UAE Division 1	Dibba Al Fujairah	2-0 HT 1-0	Dubai City
24/09/23 UAE Division 1	Dibba Al Fujairah	4-0 HT 1-0	Dubai City
10/04/22 UAE Division 1	Dibba Al Fujairah	5-1 HT 2-1	Dubai City
25/12/21 UAE Division 1	Dibba Al Fujairah	2-1 HT 0-0	Dubai City

Standings · UAE Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Bataeh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Hamriyah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Ittifaq Dubai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Urooba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Dhaid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dibba Al Fujairah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dubba Al Husun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dubai City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Emirates Club RAK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	365 FC Dubai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gulf Heroes FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Fujairah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gulf United FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dubai City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
23/05	Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
15/05	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
10/05	Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1	2-1	3-4	1	8	L
03/05	Majd FC UAE Division 1	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
18/04	Al Dhaid UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
12/04	Al Hamriyah UAE Division 1	0-2	0-5	4	1	L
05/04	Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1	1-1	2-4	3	6	L
22/03	Al Urooba UAE Division 1	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
15/03	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain UAE Division 1	1-0	2-1	1	6	W

Dibba Al Fujairah

DLDLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	0-2	0-4	6	1	L
10/05	Ajman SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
05/05	Al Bataeh UAE Pro League	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
24/04	Al Wasl SC UAE Pro League	1-3	2-4	4	4	L
11/04	Al Jazira SC UAE Pro League	1-2	3-4	2	3	L
05/04	Al Dhafra SCC UAE Pro League	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
16/03	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	0-0	0-4	1	2	L
11/03	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
07/03	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	0-4	1-4	1	0	L
27/02	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dubai City vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dibba Al Fujairah win (78%). Probabilities: Dubai City 7%, draw 15%, Dibba Al Fujairah 78%.

How many goals are expected in Dubai City vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Dubai City 0.66 · Dibba Al Fujairah 2.54), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dubai City vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.