Football · UAE Division 1 · 21/08, 17:15
Prediction: Al Urooba vs Al Dhaid
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Al Urooba1.38
Al Dhaid0.81
1X2
Al Urooba
Draw
Al Dhaid
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Al Urooba
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Al Dhaid
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Urooba
3–1–2
Al Dhaid
(6 last)
- Al Urooba2-1Al Dhaid
- Al Dhaid1-0Al Urooba
- Al Urooba1-0Al Dhaid
- Al Dhaid0-1Al Urooba
- Al Dhaid3-2Al Urooba
- Al Urooba2-2Al Dhaid
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Urooba 1577 · Al Dhaid 1481
| Al Urooba | Draw | Al Dhaid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Urooba (rating 1577 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Al Urooba: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Urooba | Al Dhaid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.1 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Urooba 3–1–2 Al Dhaid
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 UAE Division 1 | Al Urooba | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al Dhaid |
| 27/10/25 UAE Division 1 | Al Dhaid | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Urooba |
| 16/03/24 UAE Division 1 | Al Urooba | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Dhaid |
| 28/10/23 UAE Division 1 | Al Dhaid | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Urooba |
| 07/04/23 UAE Division 1 | Al Dhaid | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Al Urooba |
| 26/11/22 UAE Division 1 | Al Urooba | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Al Dhaid |
Standings · UAE Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Bataeh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hamriyah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittifaq Dubai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Urooba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Dhaid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dubba Al Husun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dubai City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Emirates Club RAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 365 FC Dubai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gulf Heroes FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Fujairah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gulf United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Urooba | Al Dhaid |
|---|---|---|
| Emirates Club RAK | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Dubba Al Husun | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Hatta Dubai | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Al Fujairah | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Al Jazira Al Hamra | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Majd FC | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Dubai City | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Urooba (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Urooba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Masfut UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Gulf United FC UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Dubai United UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Al Fujairah UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Majd FC UAE Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Dubai City UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | L |
Al Dhaid
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Al Markhiya World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Al Fujairah UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Majd FC UAE Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Dubai City UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Al Hamriyah UAE Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Urooba vs Al Dhaid?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Urooba win (50%). Probabilities: Al Urooba 50%, draw 27%, Al Dhaid 22%.
How many goals are expected in Al Urooba vs Al Dhaid?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Al Urooba 1.38 · Al Dhaid 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Urooba vs Al Dhaid?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.