Football · UAE Division 1 · 21/08, 17:15

Prediction: Al Bataeh vs Al Ittifaq Dubai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Al Bataeh1.83

Al Ittifaq Dubai1.03

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Al Bataeh Draw Al Ittifaq Dubai

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al Bataeh 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLLDD

Al Ittifaq Dubai 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLDLDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Bataeh 1463 · Al Ittifaq Dubai 1495

	Al Bataeh	Draw	Al Ittifaq Dubai
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	57%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Bataeh	Al Ittifaq Dubai
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.33

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
2	4.10 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +2’	1.57	4.33	4.10
01:22 +13’	1.53▼	4.50▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · UAE Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Bataeh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Hamriyah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Ittifaq Dubai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Urooba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Dhaid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dibba Al Fujairah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dubba Al Husun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dubai City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Emirates Club RAK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	365 FC Dubai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gulf Heroes FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Fujairah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gulf United FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al Bataeh

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
10/05	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
05/05	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Pro League	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
23/04	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/04	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
04/04	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
18/03	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
10/03	Ajman SCC UAE Pro League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
27/02	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
21/02	Al Wasl SC UAE Pro League	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Al Ittifaq Dubai

LWWWLLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Gulf United FC UAE Division 1	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
23/05	Dubai United UAE Division 1	1-0	1-1	0	1	D
15/05	Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1	1-0	2-4	6	4	L
10/05	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
03/05	Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
24/04	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
18/04	Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1	2-1	2-1	5	5	W
11/04	Majd FC UAE Division 1	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
05/04	Dubai City UAE Division 1	1-1	4-2	7	6	W
22/03	Al Dhaid UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Bataeh vs Al Ittifaq Dubai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Bataeh win (56%). Probabilities: Al Bataeh 56%, draw 23%, Al Ittifaq Dubai 21%.

How many goals are expected in Al Bataeh vs Al Ittifaq Dubai?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Al Bataeh 1.83 · Al Ittifaq Dubai 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Bataeh vs Al Ittifaq Dubai?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.