Football · Cyprus Division 2 · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

MEAP Nisou1.11

Digenis Morphou1.47

1X2

28% 28% 45%

MEAP Nisou Draw Digenis Morphou

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

MEAP Nisou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLLLD

Digenis Morphou 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWLD

Head-to-head

MEAP Nisou 0–1–4 Digenis Morphou (5 last)

MEAP Nisou0-3Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou2-1MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou0-2Digenis Morphou
Digenis Morphou3-1MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou0-0Digenis Morphou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MEAP Nisou 1438 · Digenis Morphou 1518

	MEAP Nisou	Draw	Digenis Morphou
Our model	27%	29%	44%
Market	28%	27%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Digenis Morphou (rating 1438 vs 1518).
H2H favours Digenis Morphou: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MEAP Nisou	Digenis Morphou
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 4.4	3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.30

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	2.60 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:29 +11’	2.38	3.25	2.60
06:42 +3’	2.70▲	3.25	2.30▼
08:54 +10’	3.20▲	3.30▲	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MEAP Nisou 0–1–4 Digenis Morphou

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Cyprus Division 2	MEAP Nisou	0-3 HT 0-1	Digenis Morphou
20/09/24 Cyprus Division 2	Digenis Morphou	2-1 HT 2-0	MEAP Nisou
07/04/24 Cyprus Division 2	MEAP Nisou	0-2 HT 0-1	Digenis Morphou
11/02/24 Cyprus Division 2	Digenis Morphou	3-1 HT 1-0	MEAP Nisou
23/09/23 Cyprus Division 2	MEAP Nisou	0-0 HT 0-0	Digenis Morphou

Standings · Cyprus Division 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ermis Aradippou	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	AEP Polemidion	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Anagennisi FC Deryneia	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Agia Napa	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	APEA Akrotiriou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Asil Lysis	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Halkanoras Idaliou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Digenis Morphou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Doxa Katokopias	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Enosis Paralimni	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ethnikos Achnas	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Iraklis Yerolakkou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MEAP Nisou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	PAEEK	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Spartakos Kitiou	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Akritas Chlorakas	1	0	1	0	2	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MEAP Nisou

WDLLWLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/04	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2	1-1	3-3	3	1	D
17/04	Asil Lysis Cyprus Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
04/04	Doxa Katokopias Cyprus Division 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/03	APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
18/03	PAEEK Cyprus Division 2	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
14/03	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	2-0	2-0	10	2	W
07/03	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 2	0-1	2-4	1	2	L
28/02	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
21/02	Asil Lysis Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
14/02	Doxa Katokopias Cyprus Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	7	W

Digenis Morphou

LWWWLDLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	AE Zakakiou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/04	Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
04/04	Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/03	Spartakos Kitiou Cyprus Division 2	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
18/03	Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
14/03	APEA Akrotiriou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
07/03	PO Achyronas Onisilos Cyprus Division 2	2-0	4-0	7	3	W
28/02	AE Zakakiou Cyprus Division 2	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
21/02	Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
14/02	Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Digenis Morphou win (45%). Probabilities: MEAP Nisou 28%, draw 28%, Digenis Morphou 45%.

How many goals are expected in MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou?

The model expects 2.57 goals (MEAP Nisou 1.11 · Digenis Morphou 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.