Football · Cyprus Division 2 · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: APEA Akrotiriou vs Doxa Katokopias

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

APEA Akrotiriou1

Doxa Katokopias1.45

1X2

25% 28% 47%

APEA Akrotiriou Draw Doxa Katokopias

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

APEA Akrotiriou 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDLWWW

Doxa Katokopias 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLDWLL

Head-to-head

APEA Akrotiriou 0–1 Doxa Katokopias (1 last)

APEA Akrotiriou1-2Doxa Katokopias

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · APEA Akrotiriou 1529 · Doxa Katokopias 1478

	APEA Akrotiriou	Draw	Doxa Katokopias
Our model	25%	29%	46%
Market	26%	27%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours APEA Akrotiriou (rating 1529 vs 1478).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	APEA Akrotiriou	Doxa Katokopias
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.30

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:42 +2’	3.50	3.30	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · APEA Akrotiriou 0–0–1 Doxa Katokopias

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/25 Cyprus Division 2	APEA Akrotiriou	1-2 HT 1-0	Doxa Katokopias

Standings · Cyprus Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ermis Aradippou	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	AEP Polemidion	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Anagennisi FC Deryneia	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Agia Napa	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	APEA Akrotiriou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Asil Lysis	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Halkanoras Idaliou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Digenis Morphou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Doxa Katokopias	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Enosis Paralimni	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ethnikos Achnas	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Iraklis Yerolakkou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MEAP Nisou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	PAEEK	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Spartakos Kitiou	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Akritas Chlorakas	1	0	1	0	2	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

APEA Akrotiriou

LLWDWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
21/04	Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2	2-0	2-0	1	1	W
04/04	Spartakos Kitiou Cyprus Division 2	1-0	4-0	3	7	W
21/03	Halkanoras Idaliou Cyprus Division 2	1-0	1-3	0	7	L
18/03	PO Achyronas Onisilos Cyprus Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/03	Digenis Morphou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
07/03	AE Zakakiou Cyprus Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	9	D
28/02	Ethnikos Latsion Cyprus Division 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/02	Iraklis Yerolakkou Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
14/02	Spartakos Kitiou Cyprus Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	8	L

Doxa Katokopias

LLWDWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-3	6	0	L
19/04	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2	1-3	1-5	0	1	L
04/04	MEAP Nisou Cyprus Division 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
21/03	PAEEK Cyprus Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
18/03	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 2	0-2	1-2	4	7	L
13/03	Asil Lysis Cyprus Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
07/03	APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 2	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
28/02	Agia Napa Cyprus Division 2	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
21/02	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
14/02	MEAP Nisou Cyprus Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in APEA Akrotiriou vs Doxa Katokopias?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Doxa Katokopias win (47%). Probabilities: APEA Akrotiriou 25%, draw 28%, Doxa Katokopias 47%.

How many goals are expected in APEA Akrotiriou vs Doxa Katokopias?

The model expects 2.45 goals (APEA Akrotiriou 1 · Doxa Katokopias 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in APEA Akrotiriou vs Doxa Katokopias?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.