Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 21/08, 18:15

Prediction: Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al-Anwar

Team pages: Al-Bukayriyah FC · Al-Anwar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Al-Bukayriyah FC1.45

Al-Anwar1.5

1X2

35% 27% 38%

Al-Bukayriyah FC Draw Al-Anwar

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al-Bukayriyah FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDDLLL

Al-Anwar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Al-Bukayriyah FC 2–0 Al-Anwar (2 last)

Al-Bukayriyah FC2-1Al-Anwar
Al-Anwar1-2Al-Bukayriyah FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Bukayriyah FC 1465 · Al-Anwar 1470

	Al-Bukayriyah FC	Draw	Al-Anwar
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al-Bukayriyah FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al-Bukayriyah FC	Al-Anwar
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.7	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.85 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.30 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.43

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +2’	2.63	3.30	2.30
18:13 +3’	2.55▼	3.30	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +2’	2.85	3.18	2.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Bukayriyah FC 2–0–0 Al-Anwar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al-Bukayriyah FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Al-Anwar
19/12/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al-Anwar	1-2 HT 0-1	Al-Bukayriyah FC

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Adalh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Anwar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Bukayriyah FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jabalain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jandal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jeel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Najma	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Okhdood	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Orubah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Saqer FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Taee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Ula	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Wehda Mecca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Raed	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Zulfi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Damac FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hajer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jeddah Club	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al-Bukayriyah FC	Al-Anwar
Al Draih	2-3 L	4-2 W
Al Batin	0-0 D	3-2 W
Al Taee	0-2 L	1-1 D
Al Adalh	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Anwar (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al-Bukayriyah FC

WLLWDDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Cup	1-2	2-3	4	7	L
14/05	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-2	2-3	5	2	L
09/05	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
03/05	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
28/04	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
21/04	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
13/04	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
08/04	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
03/04	Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	1-2	1	7	L
07/03	Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

Al-Anwar

DDWLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Cup	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
14/05	Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-2	1-3	7	3	L
09/05	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-1	4-2	1	5	W
02/05	Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	10	5	L
27/04	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
21/04	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-2	3-2	1	6	W
13/04	Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
08/04	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-1	5-1	7	2	W
02/04	Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
08/03	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-1	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al-Anwar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Anwar win (38%). Probabilities: Al-Bukayriyah FC 35%, draw 27%, Al-Anwar 38%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al-Anwar?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Al-Bukayriyah FC 1.45 · Al-Anwar 1.5), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al-Anwar?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.