Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 22/08, 18:15
Prediction: Al Najma vs Al Jandal
Team pages: Al Najma
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Al Najma1.89
Al Jandal1.18
1X2
Al Najma
Draw
Al Jandal
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Najma
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Al Jandal
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Najma
2–1–1
Al Jandal
(4 last)
- Al Jandal2-3Al Najma
- Al Najma1-1Al Jandal
- Al Najma3-1Al Jandal
- Al Jandal3-2Al Najma
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Najma 1443 · Al Jandal 1465
| Al Najma | Draw | Al Jandal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Najma: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Najma | Al Jandal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Najma 2–1–1 Al Jandal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Jandal | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Al Najma |
| 15/02/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Najma | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Al Jandal |
| 28/02/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Najma | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Al Jandal |
| 20/09/23 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Jandal | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Al Najma |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Zulfi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Adalh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Al Wehda Mecca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Al-Anwar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Jandal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Najma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Okhdood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Orubah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al-Saqer FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Taee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al-Ula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Al Raed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Damac FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hajer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Jeddah Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Najma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 14/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/03 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Al Jandal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/04 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/04 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 07/04 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Najma vs Al Jandal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Najma win (53%). Probabilities: Al Najma 53%, draw 25%, Al Jandal 22%.
How many goals are expected in Al Najma vs Al Jandal?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Al Najma 1.89 · Al Jandal 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Najma vs Al Jandal?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.