Prediction: Al-Ula vs Al Raed
- Al-Ula2-1Al Raed
- Al Raed3-2Al-Ula
| Al-Ula | Draw | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Ula (rating 1588 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al-Ula | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Ula 1–0–1 Al Raed
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al-Ula | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Raed |
| 07/01/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Raed | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Al-Ula |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeddah Club | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Al-Ula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Al Taee | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Al Okhdood | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Al Zulfi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Al Najma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Jabalain | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Adalh | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Hajer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Al-Saqer FC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Raed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Damac FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Al Orubah | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Al Wehda Mecca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Al-Anwar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Jandal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al-Ula | Al Raed |
|---|---|---|
| Al Draih | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Al Orubah | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Al Zulfi | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Raed (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al-Ula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 14/05 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
Al Raed
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/04 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al-Ula vs Al Raed?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al-Ula win (60%). Probabilities: Al-Ula 60%, draw 23%, Al Raed 17%.
How many goals are expected in Al-Ula vs Al Raed?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Al-Ula 2.01 · Al Raed 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al-Ula vs Al Raed?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

