Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 02/09, 19:40

Prediction: Al-Ula vs Al Raed

Team pages: Al-Ula · Al Raed

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Al-Ula2.01
Al Raed1.01
1X2
60% 23% 17%
Al-Ula Draw Al Raed
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Al-Ula 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWDDWW
Al Raed 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLDWWL
Head-to-head
Al-Ula 1–1 Al Raed (2 last)
  • Al-Ula2-1Al Raed
  • Al Raed3-2Al-Ula
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Ula 1588 · Al Raed 1492
Al-UlaDrawAl Raed
Our model60%23%17%
Market60%23%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Ula (rating 1588 vs 1492).
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al-UlaAl Raed
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.81.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.11.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.62.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.43.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Ula 101 Al Raed

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al-Ula2-1
HT 1-0
Al Raed
07/01/26
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Raed3-2
HT 0-1
Al-Ula

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jeddah Club 3210 407
2 Al-Ula 2200 416
3 Al Taee 3201 666
4 Al Okhdood 3120 315
4 Al Zulfi 3120 315
6 Al Najma 3111 334
7 Al Jabalain 3111 344
8 Al Adalh 3111 554
9 Hajer 2101 353
10 Al-Saqer FC 3030 113
11 Al Raed 2101 333
12 Damac FC 2020 002
13 Al Orubah 3021 122
14 Al Wehda Mecca 2020 112
15 Al-Bukayriyah FC 3021 122
16 Al-Anwar 2011 011
17 Al Jandal 3012 351
18 Al Jeel 3012 031

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl-UlaAl Raed
Al Draih 1-1 D 3-1 W
Al Orubah 1-1 D 1-0 W
Al Zulfi 4-2 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Raed (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al-Ula

WDWWWWDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Al-Anwar
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 1-0 78 W
23/08 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-0 3-1 W
23/05 Al Draih
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 1-1 69 D
18/05 Al Orubah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 1-1 107 D
14/05 Al Zulfi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-0 4-2 21 W
09/05 Al Jubail Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-0 43 W
02/05 Al Raed
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-1 04 W
27/04 Al-Anwar
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-1 65 W
20/04 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-0 11 D
14/04 Al Jandal
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-1 2-1 143 W

Al Raed

DWLWLLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Hajer
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 2-3 46 L
22/08 Al Orubah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 1-0 W
13/05 Abha
Saudi Arabia Division 1
3-1 5-1 52 W
10/05 Al Zulfi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-1 2-2 00 D
02/05 Al-Ula
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-1 1-2 64 L
27/04 Al Faisaly Harmah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 1-2 34 L
21/04 Al Draih
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-0 3-1 36 W
15/04 Al Orubah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-1 85 L
08/04 Jeddah Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 2-0 54 W
03/04 Al Wehda Mecca
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-2 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Ula vs Al Raed?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al-Ula win (60%). Probabilities: Al-Ula 60%, draw 23%, Al Raed 17%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Ula vs Al Raed?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Al-Ula 2.01 · Al Raed 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Ula vs Al Raed?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.