Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 02/11, 13:30
Prediction: Al Jabalain vs Al-Bukayriyah FC
Team pages: Al Jabalain · Al-Bukayriyah FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Al Jabalain1.72
Al-Bukayriyah FC0.74
1X2
Al Jabalain
Draw
Al-Bukayriyah FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Jabalain
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Al-Bukayriyah FC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Jabalain
5–1
Al-Bukayriyah FC
(6 last)
- Al Jabalain2-1Al-Bukayriyah FC
- Al-Bukayriyah FC0-4Al Jabalain
- Al-Bukayriyah FC0-1Al Jabalain
- Al Jabalain2-1Al-Bukayriyah FC
- Al-Bukayriyah FC1-0Al Jabalain
- Al Jabalain2-1Al-Bukayriyah FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Jabalain 1559 · Al-Bukayriyah FC 1415
| Al Jabalain | Draw | Al-Bukayriyah FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Jabalain (rating 1559 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Al Jabalain: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Jabalain | Al-Bukayriyah FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Jabalain 5–0–1 Al-Bukayriyah FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Jabalain | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al-Bukayriyah FC |
| 04/10/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Al Jabalain |
| 03/02/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al Jabalain |
| 01/09/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Jabalain | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al-Bukayriyah FC |
| 30/04/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al Jabalain |
| 11/12/23 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Jabalain | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al-Bukayriyah FC |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ula | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Jabalain | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Najma | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Wehda Mecca | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Damac FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Zulfi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Al Taee | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 8 | Al Adalh | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | Al-Anwar | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Saqer FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Al Raed | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Al Orubah | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Jeddah Club | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Okhdood | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 16 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Hajer | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Jabalain | Al-Bukayriyah FC |
|---|---|---|
| Al Orubah | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Hajer | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Al Draih | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al-Bukayriyah FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Jabalain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/10 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/10 | Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 01/09 | Al Najma Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 27/08 | Al Jeel Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Al-Bukayriyah FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/10 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/09 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/09 | Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Jabalain vs Al-Bukayriyah FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Jabalain win (60%). Probabilities: Al Jabalain 60%, draw 24%, Al-Bukayriyah FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Al Jabalain vs Al-Bukayriyah FC?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Al Jabalain 1.72 · Al-Bukayriyah FC 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Jabalain vs Al-Bukayriyah FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.