Prediction: Al Raed vs Al Wehda Mecca

Team pages: Al Raed · Al Wehda Mecca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Al Raed1.27
Al Wehda Mecca1.78
1X2
26% 25% 49%
Al Raed Draw Al Wehda Mecca
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Raed 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDLWLL
Al Wehda Mecca 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
LDDDDWDWDW
Head-to-head
Al Raed 3–2–1 Al Wehda Mecca (6 last)
  • Al Wehda Mecca2-2Al Raed
  • Al Raed2-1Al Wehda Mecca
  • Al Wehda Mecca3-1Al Raed
  • Al Raed2-2Al Wehda Mecca
  • Al Wehda Mecca0-1Al Raed
  • Al Raed2-0Al Wehda Mecca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Raed 1477 · Al Wehda Mecca 1529
Al RaedDrawAl Wehda Mecca
Our model26%25%48%
Market26%25%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Wehda Mecca (rating 1477 vs 1529).
  • H2H favours Al Raed: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al RaedAl Wehda Mecca
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 31.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Raed 3–2–1 Al Wehda Mecca

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Wehda Mecca2-2
HT 0-1
Al Raed
29/11/25
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Raed2-1
HT 0-1
Al Wehda Mecca
06/03/25
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Wehda Mecca3-1
HT 1-1
Al Raed
19/10/24
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Raed2-2
HT 0-0
Al Wehda Mecca
16/05/24
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Wehda Mecca0-1
HT 0-0
Al Raed
02/12/23
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Raed2-0
HT 1-0
Al Wehda Mecca

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al-Ula 9810 22525
2 Al Jabalain 9531 9518
3 Al Najma 9441 16916
4 Al Wehda Mecca 9360 181015
5 Damac FC 9432 131015
6 Al Zulfi 9351 10414
7 Al Taee 10424 142014
8 Al Adalh 10343 151413
9 Al-Anwar 8251 7511
10 Al-Saqer FC 10253 9911
11 Al Raed 9315 81310
12 Jeddah Club 10235 8139
13 Al Orubah 8152 688
14 Al Okhdood 8143 10167
15 Al Jandal 8134 10126
16 Al-Bukayriyah FC 9135 7156
17 Hajer 9135 8166
18 Al Jeel 7124 175

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl RaedAl Wehda Mecca
Al Jabalain 0-1 L 0-0 D
Al-Saqer FC 0-2 L 2-1 W
Al Zulfi 0-4 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Wehda Mecca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Raed

WWLLWDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/10 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-1 45 L
19/10 Al-Saqer FC
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-2 32 L
14/10 Jeddah Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 1-0 32 W
19/09 Al Zulfi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-3 0-4 33 L
14/09 Al Najma
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 1-1 11 D
09/09 Al Jeel
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-0 3-0 33 W
02/09 Al-Ula
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-2 0-2 13 L
28/08 Hajer
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 2-3 46 L
22/08 Al Orubah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 1-0 –– W
13/05 Abha
Saudi Arabia Division 1
3-1 5-1 52 W

Al Wehda Mecca

LDDDDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/10 Al-Saqer FC
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-1 33 W
21/10 Al-Anwar
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 1-1 104 D
12/10 Al Taee
Saudi Arabia Division 1
3-0 6-1 44 W
20/09 Al Jandal
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 2-2 65 D
14/09 Al Okhdood
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 4-2 22 W
07/09 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-0 45 D
02/09 Damac FC
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-2 61 D
26/08 Al Zulfi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
21/08 Al Adalh
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-1 1-1 –– D
14/05 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-1 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Raed vs Al Wehda Mecca?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Wehda Mecca win (49%). Probabilities: Al Raed 26%, draw 25%, Al Wehda Mecca 49%.

How many goals are expected in Al Raed vs Al Wehda Mecca?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Al Raed 1.27 · Al Wehda Mecca 1.78), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Raed vs Al Wehda Mecca?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.