Prediction: Al Najma vs Al-Ula
| Al Najma | Draw | Al-Ula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Ula (rating 1557 vs 1613).
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Najma | Al-Ula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 2.7 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ula | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | Al Jabalain | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Najma | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Wehda Mecca | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Damac FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zulfi | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Taee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Al Adalh | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Al-Saqer FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | Al Raed | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Jeddah Club | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Orubah | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Okhdood | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 17 | Hajer | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Najma | Al-Ula |
|---|---|---|
| Al Zulfi | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hajer | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Damac FC | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Al-Anwar | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Al Raed | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Al Okhdood | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Al Jabalain | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Jeddah Club | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 1 L | 7 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al-Ula (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Najma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Al Jeel Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/10 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 20/10 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/09 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 07/09 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 01/09 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/08 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Al-Ula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/10 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 08/10 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/09 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Najma vs Al-Ula?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Ula win (49%). Probabilities: Al Najma 25%, draw 26%, Al-Ula 49%.
How many goals are expected in Al Najma vs Al-Ula?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Al Najma 1.09 · Al-Ula 1.62), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Najma vs Al-Ula?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.