Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 21/08, 19:50

Prediction: Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Adalh

Team pages: Al Wehda Mecca · Al Adalh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Al Wehda Mecca2.02

Al Adalh1.1

1X2

58% 23% 20%

Al Wehda Mecca Draw Al Adalh

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al Wehda Mecca 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDLWLD

Al Adalh 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Al Wehda Mecca 4–2–0 Al Adalh (6 last)

Al Wehda Mecca4-1Al Adalh
Al Adalh1-4Al Wehda Mecca
Al Adalh1-2Al Wehda Mecca
Al Wehda Mecca0-0Al Adalh
Al Wehda Mecca0-0Al Adalh
Al Adalh0-2Al Wehda Mecca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Wehda Mecca 1497 · Al Adalh 1494

	Al Wehda Mecca	Draw	Al Adalh
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	58%	22%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Wehda Mecca: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Wehda Mecca	Al Adalh
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53
X	4.50 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.27
2	6.00 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.66 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +2’	1.36	4.50	6.00
18:18 +7’	1.53▲	4.00▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +1’	1.45	4.42	6.17
18:15 +10’	1.51▲	4.20▼	5.62▼
23:09 +2’	1.50▼	4.27▲	5.66▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Wehda Mecca 4–2–0 Al Adalh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Wehda Mecca	4-1 HT 3-1	Al Adalh
20/12/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Adalh	1-4 HT 0-2	Al Wehda Mecca
08/05/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Adalh	1-2 HT 0-1	Al Wehda Mecca
30/12/22 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Wehda Mecca	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Adalh
11/05/22 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Wehda Mecca	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Adalh
21/12/21 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Adalh	0-2 HT 0-1	Al Wehda Mecca

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Adalh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Anwar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Bukayriyah FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jabalain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jandal	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jeel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Najma	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Okhdood	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Orubah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Saqer FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Taee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Ula	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Wehda Mecca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Raed	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Zulfi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Damac FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hajer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jeddah Club	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Wehda Mecca	Al Adalh
Al Jabalain	0-1 L	2-1 W
Al Jandal	2-1 W	2-1 W
Al Jubail Club	2-0 W	2-0 W
Al-Anwar	1-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Adalh (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al Wehda Mecca

LDLWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Cup	1-0	1-1	9	8	D
14/05	Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
02/05	Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
26/04	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-2	1	3	D
20/04	Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
14/04	Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
08/04	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-2	1-5	3	2	L
03/04	Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/03	Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	2	L

Al Adalh

LLDLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Cup	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
13/05	Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/05	Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
02/05	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
27/04	Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
20/04	Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	2-1	10	4	W
14/04	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-3	1-4	4	7	L
09/04	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-1	7	10	D
04/04	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-4	11	5	L
07/03	Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Adalh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Wehda Mecca win (58%). Probabilities: Al Wehda Mecca 58%, draw 23%, Al Adalh 20%.

How many goals are expected in Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Adalh?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Al Wehda Mecca 2.02 · Al Adalh 1.1), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Adalh?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.