Football · Hungary NBI Women · 15/08, 14:00
Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Ujpest (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.4Total
Ferencvarosi TC (W)3.2
Ujpest (W)1.2
1X2
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Draw
Ujpest (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Ujpest (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
6–0
Ujpest (W)
(6 last)
- Ujpest (W)0-3Ferencvarosi TC (W)
- Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-3Ujpest (W)
- Ujpest (W)1-6Ferencvarosi TC (W)
- Ferencvarosi TC (W)16-0Ujpest (W)
- Ujpest (W)0-10Ferencvarosi TC (W)
- Ferencvarosi TC (W)11-3Ujpest (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1636 · Ujpest (W) 1491
| Ferencvarosi TC (W) | Draw | Ujpest (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 85% | 8% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1636 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferencvarosi TC (W) | Ujpest (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.8 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 6–0–0 Ujpest (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Hungary NBI Women | Ujpest (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
| 14/09/25 Hungary NBI Women | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 5-3 HT 3-1 | Ujpest (W) |
| 11/03/23 Hungary NBI Women | Ujpest (W) | 1-6 HT 0-3 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
| 21/09/22 Hungary NBI Women | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 16-0 HT 7-0 | Ujpest (W) |
| 12/11/17 Hungary NBI Women | Ujpest (W) | 0-10 HT 0-7 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
| 02/09/17 Hungary NBI Women | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 11-3 HT 7-2 | Ujpest (W) |
Standings · Hungary NBI Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pecsi MFC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ujpest (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | MOL Fehervar FC Women | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | MTK Hungaria (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Gyor Eto FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Astra HFC (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Kispest Honved (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Szekszardi (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | Ujpest (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Puskas FC (W) | 8-0 W | 0-7 L |
| Szent Mihaly SE (W) | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| MTK Hungaria (W) | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Kispest Honved (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Budaorsi SC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | KFF Mitrovica (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | PAOK Salonika (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Kispest Honved (W) Hungary Cup Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 16 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Viktoria FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
6-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Ujpest (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 01/04 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-1 | 0-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Ferencvarosi TC (W) 81%, draw 11%, Ujpest (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?
The model expects 4.4 goals (Ferencvarosi TC (W) 3.2 · Ujpest (W) 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC (W) vs Ujpest (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.