Football · Hungary NBI Women · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: MTK Hungaria (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

MTK Hungaria (W)2.63

Szent Mihaly SE (W)0.63

1X2

85% 11% 4%

MTK Hungaria (W) Draw Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

MTK Hungaria (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLLLWW

Szent Mihaly SE (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDLWLD

Head-to-head

MTK Hungaria (W) 5–1 Szent Mihaly SE (W) (6 last)

Szent Mihaly SE (W)3-2MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)2-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Szent Mihaly SE (W)0-3MTK Hungaria (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)3-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)2-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)
MTK Hungaria (W)5-0Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MTK Hungaria (W) 1506 · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 1503

	MTK Hungaria (W)	Draw	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	90%	8%	2%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MTK Hungaria (W): 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MTK Hungaria (W)	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	63/25/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.7	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.04

X12.00

251.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.85

2 (+3)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.05▲	Bet365 1.05
X	12.00 → 13.00▲	Bet365 13.00
2	51.00 → 34.00▼	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:08 +21’	1.04	12.00	51.00
08:36 +16’	1.05▲	13.00▲	34.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MTK Hungaria (W) 5–0–1 Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	MTK Hungaria (W)
15/11/25 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
19/04/25 Hungary NBI Women	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	MTK Hungaria (W)
19/10/24 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
04/05/24 Hungary NBI Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
06/03/24 Hungary Cup Women	MTK Hungaria (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Szent Mihaly SE (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas FC (W)	2	2	0	0	11	0	6
2	MTK Hungaria (W)	2	2	0	0	8	0	6
3	Gyor Eto FC (W)	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
4	Kispest Honved (W)	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
5	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Ujpest (W)	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Pecsi MFC (W)	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
8	Fehervar FC (W)	2	1	0	1	1	7	3
9	Astra HFC (W)	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
10	Szent Mihaly SE (W)	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
11	Diosgyori VTK (W)	2	0	0	2	2	9	0
12	Szekszardi (W)	2	0	0	2	0	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MTK Hungaria (W)	Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Gyor Eto FC (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Ujpest (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Ferencvarosi TC (W)	1-5 L	1-5 L
Budaorsi SC (W)	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MTK Hungaria (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MTK Hungaria (W)

LWDLWLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Fehervar FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	7-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
27/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
23/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	2-3	4	2	L
09/05	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-2	1-5	6	2	L
25/04	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
04/04	Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-0	4-0	8	2	W
01/04	Diosgyori VTK (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Szent Mihaly SE (W)

DLWWWDLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
08/08	MOL Fehervar FC Women Hungary NBI Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	3-2	4	2	W
09/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NBI Women	0-4	1-5	0	1	L
06/05	Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	–	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
25/04	Viktoria FC (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	5-2	3	1	W
04/04	Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/04	Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women	2-1	2-3	7	3	L
28/03	Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women	1-0	1-1	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MTK Hungaria (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MTK Hungaria (W) win (85%). Probabilities: MTK Hungaria (W) 85%, draw 11%, Szent Mihaly SE (W) 4%.

How many goals are expected in MTK Hungaria (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)?

The model expects 3.26 goals (MTK Hungaria (W) 2.63 · Szent Mihaly SE (W) 0.63), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MTK Hungaria (W) vs Szent Mihaly SE (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.