Football · Hungary NBI Women · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Ujpest (W) vs Diosgyori VTK (W)

Team pages: Ujpest (W) · Diosgyori VTK (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Ujpest (W)2.84
Diosgyori VTK (W)0.84
1X2
81% 13% 6%
Ujpest (W) Draw Diosgyori VTK (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ujpest (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDWLLWWL
Diosgyori VTK (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLDLLL
Head-to-head
Ujpest (W) 2–3 Diosgyori VTK (W) (5 last)
  • Ujpest (W)8-0Diosgyori VTK (W)
  • Diosgyori VTK (W)1-4Ujpest (W)
  • Ujpest (W)0-5Diosgyori VTK (W)
  • Diosgyori VTK (W)4-0Ujpest (W)
  • Ujpest (W)0-12Diosgyori VTK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ujpest (W) 1492 · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1396
Ujpest (W)DrawDiosgyori VTK (W)
Our model78%14%8%
Market84%12%4%
Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (W) (rating 1492 vs 1396).
  • H2H favours Diosgyori VTK (W): 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ujpest (W)Diosgyori VTK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.81 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.90.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.82.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 02.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest (W) 203 Diosgyori VTK (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Hungary NBI Women
Ujpest (W)8-0
HT 3-0
Diosgyori VTK (W)
15/10/25
Hungary NBI Women
Diosgyori VTK (W)1-4
HT 1-1
Ujpest (W)
22/04/23
Hungary NBI Women
Ujpest (W)0-5Diosgyori VTK (W)
01/10/22
Hungary NBI Women
Diosgyori VTK (W)4-0
HT 2-0
Ujpest (W)
25/02/18
Hungary NBI Women
Ujpest (W)0-12
HT 0-5
Diosgyori VTK (W)

Standings · Hungary NBI Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Puskas FC (W) 2200 1106
2 MTK Hungaria (W) 2200 806
3 Gyor Eto FC (W) 1100 513
4 Kispest Honved (W) 2101 213
5 Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1100 103
6 Ujpest (W) 2101 223
7 Pecsi MFC (W) 2101 463
8 Fehervar FC (W) 2101 173
9 Astra HFC (W) 2011 121
10 Szent Mihaly SE (W) 2011 011
11 Diosgyori VTK (W) 2002 290
12 Szekszardi (W) 2002 080

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUjpest (W)Diosgyori VTK (W)
Szekszardi (W) 4-1 W 0-3 L
MTK Hungaria (W) 0-2 L 2-0 W
Gyor Eto FC (W) 0-1 L 1-5 L
Kispest Honved (W) 1-1 D 1-3 L
Puskas FC (W) 0-7 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ujpest (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 0-1 32 L
08/08 Astra HFC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-1 2-1 101 W
16/05 Szekszardi (W)
Hungary NBI Women
4-0 4-1 61 W
09/05 MTK Hungaria (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-2 0-2 05 L
02/05 Gyor Eto FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 0-1 02 L
25/04 Diosgyori VTK (W)
Hungary NBI Women
3-0 8-0 71 W
05/04 Kispest Honved (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-1 1-1 74 D
01/04 Puskas FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 0-7 11 L
28/03 Szent Mihaly SE (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 1-1 37 D
21/03 Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 0-3 11 L

Diosgyori VTK (W)

LLWLLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Gyor Eto FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-5 L
08/08 Pecsi MFC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-1 1-4 22 L
16/05 Viktoria FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 1-2 53 L
09/05 Pecsi MFC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-1 1-1 72 D
02/05 Szekszardi (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-0 0-3 32 L
25/04 Ujpest (W)
Hungary NBI Women
0-3 0-8 11 L
04/04 Gyor Eto FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-0 2-3 27 L
01/04 MTK Hungaria (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-0 2-0 54 W
28/03 Kispest Honved (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-0 1-3 55 L
21/03 Puskas FC (W)
Hungary NBI Women
1-1 1-2 21 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest (W) vs Diosgyori VTK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Ujpest (W) 81%, draw 13%, Diosgyori VTK (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest (W) vs Diosgyori VTK (W)?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Ujpest (W) 2.84 · Diosgyori VTK (W) 0.84), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest (W) vs Diosgyori VTK (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.