Football · Hungary NBI Women · 26/08, 17:30
Prediction: Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Team pages: Diosgyori VTK (W) · Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.73Total
Diosgyori VTK (W)1.37
Ferencvarosi TC (W)3.37
1X2
Diosgyori VTK (W)
Draw
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Diosgyori VTK (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Diosgyori VTK (W)
1–5
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
(6 last)
- Diosgyori VTK (W)0-6Ferencvarosi TC (W)
- Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-1Diosgyori VTK (W)
- Ferencvarosi TC (W)5-0Diosgyori VTK (W)
- Diosgyori VTK (W)2-3Ferencvarosi TC (W)
- Diosgyori VTK (W)1-0Ferencvarosi TC (W)
- Ferencvarosi TC (W)7-0Diosgyori VTK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1382 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 1654
| Diosgyori VTK (W) | Draw | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 2% | 4% | 94% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.73 goals · Bet365 line 4.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC (W) (rating 1382 vs 1654).
- H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Diosgyori VTK (W) | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 78/22/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK (W) 1–0–5 Ferencvarosi TC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Hungary NBI Women | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
| 24/09/25 Hungary NBI Women | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Diosgyori VTK (W) |
| 26/04/25 Hungary NBI Women | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Diosgyori VTK (W) |
| 05/03/25 Hungary Cup Women | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
| 02/11/24 Hungary NBI Women | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
| 06/03/24 Hungary Cup Women | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Diosgyori VTK (W) |
Standings · Hungary NBI Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTK Hungaria (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Puskas FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Ujpest (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Gyor Eto FC (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Ferencvarosi TC (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Kispest Honved (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fehervar FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Pecsi MFC (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Astra HFC (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Szekszardi (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 | Diosgyori VTK (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Diosgyori VTK (W) | Ferencvarosi TC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ujpest (W) | 1-7 L | 1-0 W |
| Pecsi MFC (W) | 1-4 L | 9-0 W |
| Viktoria FC (W) | 1-2 L | 7-0 W |
| MTK Hungaria (W) | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diosgyori VTK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Viktoria FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Szekszardi (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women |
0-3 | 0-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Gyor Eto FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/04 | MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Kispest Honved (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Ferencvarosi TC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Astra HFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
– | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Ujpest (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Puskas FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Szent Mihaly SE (W) Hungary NBI Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | MTK Hungaria (W) Hungary NBI Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Budaorsi SC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 16 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Viktoria FC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
6-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 01/04 | Pecsi MFC (W) Hungary NBI Women |
3-0 | 9-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferencvarosi TC (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK (W) 6%, draw 8%, Ferencvarosi TC (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?
The model expects 4.73 goals (Diosgyori VTK (W) 1.37 · Ferencvarosi TC (W) 3.37), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK (W) vs Ferencvarosi TC (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.