Football · South Africa Premier · 13/10, 19:30

Prediction: Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch FC

Team pages: Kaizer Chiefs · Stellenbosch FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Kaizer Chiefs1.44

Stellenbosch FC0.69

1X2

54% 29% 17%

Kaizer Chiefs Draw Stellenbosch FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Kaizer Chiefs 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDWDD

Stellenbosch FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWLDDW

Head-to-head

Kaizer Chiefs 3–1–2 Stellenbosch FC (6 last)

Kaizer Chiefs1-2Stellenbosch FC
Stellenbosch FC2-1Kaizer Chiefs
Stellenbosch FC0-0Kaizer Chiefs
Stellenbosch FC0-2Kaizer Chiefs
Stellenbosch FC1-3Kaizer Chiefs
Stellenbosch FC0-1Kaizer Chiefs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaizer Chiefs 1512 · Stellenbosch FC 1534

	Kaizer Chiefs	Draw	Stellenbosch FC
Our model	54%	29%	17%
Market	54%	29%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kaizer Chiefs: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kaizer Chiefs	Stellenbosch FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.10

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.65▼	Pinn 1.75
X	3.00 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.30 ★
2	4.33 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +7’	1.80	3.00	4.33
16:03 +5’	1.75▼	3.00	4.50▲
17:08 +2’	1.65▼	3.10▲	5.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +26’	1.75	3.30	4.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaizer Chiefs 3–1–2 Stellenbosch FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/26 South Africa Premier	Kaizer Chiefs	1-2 HT 1-0	Stellenbosch FC
04/02/26 South Africa Cup	Stellenbosch FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Kaizer Chiefs
05/10/25 South Africa League Cup	Stellenbosch FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Kaizer Chiefs
10/08/25 South Africa Premier	Stellenbosch FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Kaizer Chiefs
08/03/25 South Africa Cup	Stellenbosch FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Kaizer Chiefs
07/02/25 South Africa Premier	Stellenbosch FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Kaizer Chiefs

Standings · South Africa Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19	7	20
2	Orlando Pirates	7	6	1	0	16	1	19
3	Amazulu	7	5	1	1	10	7	16
4	Kaizer Chiefs	7	3	4	0	12	7	13
5	Milford FC	8	3	3	2	9	7	12
6	Sekhukhune United FC	7	3	2	2	7	7	11
7	Stellenbosch FC	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
8	Golden Arrows	7	1	5	1	3	3	8
9	Chippa United	7	1	5	1	4	6	8
10	Durban City	7	1	4	2	4	5	7
11	Polokwane City	7	1	4	2	8	10	7
12	TS Galaxy	7	1	3	3	7	9	6
13	Kruger United	7	1	1	5	3	12	4
14	Richards Bay FC	7	0	3	4	9	16	3
15	Siwelele FC	7	0	3	4	6	13	3
16	Marumo Gallants	7	0	2	5	5	13	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kaizer Chiefs	Stellenbosch FC
Golden Arrows	0-0 D	0-1 L
Polokwane City	1-1 D	3-3 D
Sekhukhune United FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Kruger United	3-1 W	1-0 W
Amazulu	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kaizer Chiefs (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaizer Chiefs

WWLWWDDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	10	5	D
12/09	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/09	Siwelele FC South Africa Premier	1-0	3-2	6	2	W
26/08	Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier	1-2	2-2	5	5	D
15/08	Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
12/08	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
01/08	Kruger United South Africa Premier	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Chippa United South Africa Premier	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
16/05	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/05	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	2-0	3	2	W

Stellenbosch FC

DWDLDWLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kruger United South Africa Premier	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
11/09	Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
01/09	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
26/08	Golden Arrows South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
11/08	Polokwane City South Africa Premier	1-1	3-3	6	1	D
01/08	Amazulu South Africa Premier	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/05	Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
16/05	Orbit College South Africa Premier	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
08/05	Durban City South Africa Premier	0-0	0-0	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaizer Chiefs win (54%). Probabilities: Kaizer Chiefs 54%, draw 29%, Stellenbosch FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch FC?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Kaizer Chiefs 1.44 · Stellenbosch FC 0.69), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.