Football · South Africa Premier · 13/10, 19:30
Prediction: Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy
Team pages: Orlando Pirates · TS Galaxy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Orlando Pirates2.25
TS Galaxy0.41
1X2
Orlando Pirates
Draw
TS Galaxy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando Pirates
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
TS Galaxy
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orlando Pirates
4–1–1
TS Galaxy
(6 last)
- TS Galaxy0-6Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates2-0TS Galaxy
- Orlando Pirates1-1TS Galaxy
- TS Galaxy0-2Orlando Pirates
- TS Galaxy1-0Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates1-0TS Galaxy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates 1622 · TS Galaxy 1460
| Orlando Pirates | Draw | TS Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 16% | 5% |
| Market | 80% | 15% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates (rating 1622 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Orlando Pirates: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando Pirates | TS Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.2 | 1.5 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pirates 4–1–1 TS Galaxy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 South Africa Premier | TS Galaxy | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Orlando Pirates |
| 30/09/25 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 2-0 HT 1-0 | TS Galaxy |
| 17/05/25 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 1-1 HT 0-0 | TS Galaxy |
| 29/10/24 South Africa Premier | TS Galaxy | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 18/05/24 South Africa Premier | TS Galaxy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orlando Pirates |
| 09/12/23 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 1-0 HT 1-0 | TS Galaxy |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 19 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Milford FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Durban City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 13 | Kruger United | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 4 |
| 14 | Richards Bay FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 3 |
| 15 | Siwelele FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orlando Pirates | TS Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Kruger United | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sekhukhune United FC | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Chippa United | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando Pirates (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/09 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Magesi FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
TS Galaxy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/08 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/08 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 12/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates win (79%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates 79%, draw 16%, TS Galaxy 5%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Orlando Pirates 2.25 · TS Galaxy 0.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.