Football · South Africa Premier · 31/10, 14:30
Prediction: Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs
Team pages: Orlando Pirates · Kaizer Chiefs
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Orlando Pirates1.36
Kaizer Chiefs0.72
1X2
Orlando Pirates
Draw
Kaizer Chiefs
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando Pirates
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Kaizer Chiefs
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orlando Pirates
4–1–1
Kaizer Chiefs
(6 last)
- Orlando Pirates1-1Kaizer Chiefs
- Kaizer Chiefs0-3Orlando Pirates
- Kaizer Chiefs2-1Orlando Pirates
- Kaizer Chiefs1-2Orlando Pirates
- Orlando Pirates1-0Kaizer Chiefs
- Orlando Pirates3-2Kaizer Chiefs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates 1649 · Kaizer Chiefs 1540
| Orlando Pirates | Draw | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pirates (rating 1649 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Orlando Pirates: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando Pirates | Kaizer Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pirates 4–1–1 Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 28/02/26 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Orlando Pirates |
| 10/05/25 South Africa Cup | Kaizer Chiefs | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 03/05/25 South Africa Premier | Kaizer Chiefs | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Orlando Pirates |
| 01/02/25 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kaizer Chiefs |
| 09/03/24 South Africa Premier | Orlando Pirates | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Kaizer Chiefs |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Kruger United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Siwelele FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
| 16 | Richards Bay FC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orlando Pirates | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Kruger United | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Sekhukhune United FC | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Chippa United | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Amazulu | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando Pirates (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/09 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Orbit College South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 7 | D |
Kaizer Chiefs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/08 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates win (51%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates 51%, draw 29%, Kaizer Chiefs 19%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Orlando Pirates 1.36 · Kaizer Chiefs 0.72), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates vs Kaizer Chiefs?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.