Prediction: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City
Team pages: Mamelodi Sundowns · Durban City
- Durban City0-1Mamelodi Sundowns
- Mamelodi Sundowns3-1Durban City
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Draw | Durban City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 21% | 7% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mamelodi Sundowns (rating 1621 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Mamelodi Sundowns: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mamelodi Sundowns | Durban City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0–0 Durban City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 South Africa Premier | Durban City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 20/09/25 South Africa Premier | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Durban City |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Kruger United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Siwelele FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
| 16 | Richards Bay FC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mamelodi Sundowns | Durban City |
|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay FC | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Golden Arrows | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Milford FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Amazulu | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mamelodi Sundowns (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mamelodi Sundowns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 11/08 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
Durban City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/09 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Kruger United South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 12/08 | Golden Arrows South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Sekhukhune United FC South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Amazulu South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mamelodi Sundowns win (74%). Probabilities: Mamelodi Sundowns 74%, draw 18%, Durban City 8%.
How many goals are expected in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Mamelodi Sundowns 1.95 · Durban City 0.45), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.