Football · South Africa Premier · 31/10, 17:00
Prediction: Amazulu vs Golden Arrows
Team pages: Amazulu · Golden Arrows
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Amazulu1.15
Golden Arrows0.66
1X2
Amazulu
Draw
Golden Arrows
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Amazulu
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Golden Arrows
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Amazulu
3–2–1
Golden Arrows
(6 last)
- Amazulu1-1Golden Arrows
- Golden Arrows0-1Amazulu
- Amazulu3-2Golden Arrows
- Golden Arrows0-1Amazulu
- Amazulu0-0Golden Arrows
- Amazulu1-3Golden Arrows
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amazulu 1583 · Golden Arrows 1498
| Amazulu | Draw | Golden Arrows | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amazulu (rating 1583 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Amazulu: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Amazulu | Golden Arrows | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu 3–2–1 Golden Arrows
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 South Africa Premier | Amazulu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Golden Arrows |
| 02/12/25 South Africa Premier | Golden Arrows | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Amazulu |
| 26/07/25 World Club Friendlies | Amazulu | 3-2 HT 3-2 | Golden Arrows |
| 26/04/25 South Africa Premier | Golden Arrows | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Amazulu |
| 04/01/25 South Africa Premier | Amazulu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Golden Arrows |
| 25/05/24 South Africa Premier | Amazulu | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Golden Arrows |
Standings · South Africa Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stellenbosch FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Polokwane City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Kruger United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 14 | Siwelele FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
| 16 | Richards Bay FC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Amazulu | Golden Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Siwelele FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Stellenbosch FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amazulu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Polokwane City South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Marumo Gallants South Africa Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Richards Bay FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/08 | Orlando Pirates South Africa Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Golden Arrows
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Milford FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Kaizer Chiefs South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Siwelele FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Mamelodi Sundowns South Africa Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Stellenbosch FC South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/08 | Durban City South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | TS Galaxy South Africa Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Chippa United South Africa Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amazulu vs Golden Arrows?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Amazulu win (47%). Probabilities: Amazulu 47%, draw 31%, Golden Arrows 21%.
How many goals are expected in Amazulu vs Golden Arrows?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Amazulu 1.15 · Golden Arrows 0.66), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Amazulu vs Golden Arrows?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.