Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 19/08, 17:00

Prediction: OFK Vrsac vs FK Dubocica

Team pages: OFK Vrsac · FK Dubocica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

OFK Vrsac1.39

FK Dubocica0.69

1X2

53% 29% 18%

OFK Vrsac Draw FK Dubocica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

OFK Vrsac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLDLWW

FK Dubocica 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWLWDW

Head-to-head

OFK Vrsac 1–2–3 FK Dubocica (6 last)

FK Dubocica1-0OFK Vrsac
OFK Vrsac1-2FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica4-0OFK Vrsac
OFK Vrsac2-0FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica1-1OFK Vrsac
OFK Vrsac0-0FK Dubocica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Vrsac 1489 · FK Dubocica 1517

	OFK Vrsac	Draw	FK Dubocica
Our model	53%	30%	17%
Market	54%	27%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Dubocica: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OFK Vrsac	FK Dubocica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/78/11%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	5.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.30

24.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.80 → 4.80	Bet365 4.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +5’	1.67	3.30	4.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Vrsac 1–2–3 FK Dubocica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	1-0 HT 1-0	OFK Vrsac
12/09/25 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	1-2 HT 1-2	FK Dubocica
29/03/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	4-0 HT 2-0	OFK Vrsac
03/11/24 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Dubocica
13/05/24 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	1-1 HT 1-1	OFK Vrsac
23/03/24 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Dubocica

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Smederevo	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
2	FK Napredak	3	3	0	0	4	1	9
3	FK Backa Topola	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
4	FK Dubocica	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	Spartak Subotica	3	2	0	1	9	6	6
6	Borac Cacak	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
7	OFK Vrsac	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
8	Javor Ivanjica	3	1	1	1	7	4	4
9	Jedinstvo UB	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
10	FK Graficar Beograd	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
11	Metalac Gornji	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
12	Teleoptik	3	1	0	2	5	9	3
13	Loznica	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
14	FK Proleter 023	3	0	1	2	2	4	1
15	FK Vozdovac	3	0	0	3	0	3	0
16	Bor 1919	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OFK Vrsac	FK Dubocica
FK Proleter 023	1-0 W	3-2 W
FK Graficar Beograd	0-1 L	1-3 L
FK Vozdovac	2-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

OFK Vrsac

LWLWDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
08/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
01/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
25/07	Spartak Subotica Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/07	FK Graficar Beograd Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/07	Jedinstvo UB Club Friendly List	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/07	OFK Beograd Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/05	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	1-4	2-5	–	–	L
04/05	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/04	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Prva Liga	–	0-3	–	–	L

FK Dubocica

DLLLDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	3-2	2	10	W
08/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
01/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	0	6	W
25/07	FK Napredak Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
22/07	OFK Brzi Brod Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
29/05	FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
11/05	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-3	4	7	L
07/05	FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Vrsac vs FK Dubocica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Vrsac win (53%). Probabilities: OFK Vrsac 53%, draw 29%, FK Dubocica 18%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Vrsac vs FK Dubocica?

The model expects 2.08 goals (OFK Vrsac 1.39 · FK Dubocica 0.69), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Vrsac vs FK Dubocica?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.