Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: FK Vozdovac vs FK Dubocica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

FK Vozdovac2.06

FK Dubocica0.98

1X2

61% 24% 16%

FK Vozdovac Draw FK Dubocica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Vozdovac 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWD

FK Dubocica 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLLDWL

Head-to-head

FK Vozdovac 3–1–0 FK Dubocica (4 last)

FK Dubocica2-3FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac1-1FK Dubocica
FK Vozdovac1-0FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica0-3FK Vozdovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Vozdovac 1553 · FK Dubocica 1442

	FK Vozdovac	Draw	FK Dubocica
Our model	61%	22%	16%
Market	60%	25%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Vozdovac (rating 1553 vs 1442).
H2H favours FK Vozdovac: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Vozdovac	FK Dubocica
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.5	1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.60

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:40 +13’	1.50	3.60	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Vozdovac 3–1–0 FK Dubocica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/11/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	2-3 HT 2-2	FK Vozdovac
16/08/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Dubocica
15/02/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Dubocica
07/09/24 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Vozdovac

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bor 1919	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Borac Cacak	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Javor Ivanjica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jedinstvo UB	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Loznica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metalac Gornji	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Napredak	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Naftagas Elemir	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Smederevo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Spartak Subotica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Teleoptik Zemun	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Backa Topola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Vozdovac	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Dubocica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OFK Vrsac	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Graficar Beograd	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Vozdovac	FK Dubocica
SU Dinamo Jug	2-0 W	0-3 L
Smederevo	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Vozdovac (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Vozdovac

WLWWLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	OFK Mladost DG Club Friendly List	0-0	3-3	1	2	D
08/05	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
03/05	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	12	L
27/04	FK Zemun Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
22/04	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
18/04	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
05/04	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
28/03	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
22/03	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	1	5	L
14/03	FK Zemun Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	9	4	W

FK Dubocica

LDWDLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FK Napredak Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
22/07	OFK Brzi Brod Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
29/05	FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
11/05	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-3	4	7	L
07/05	FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
02/05	FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
27/04	FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
22/04	FK Usce Novi Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Vozdovac vs FK Dubocica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Vozdovac win (61%). Probabilities: FK Vozdovac 61%, draw 24%, FK Dubocica 16%.

How many goals are expected in FK Vozdovac vs FK Dubocica?

The model expects 3.05 goals (FK Vozdovac 2.06 · FK Dubocica 0.98), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Vozdovac vs FK Dubocica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.