Prediction: FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo
Team pages: FK Graficar Beograd · Smederevo
- FK Graficar Beograd0-1Smederevo
- FK Graficar Beograd0-0Smederevo
- Smederevo0-1FK Graficar Beograd
- Smederevo1-1FK Graficar Beograd
- FK Graficar Beograd2-0Smederevo
- FK Graficar Beograd2-1Smederevo
| FK Graficar Beograd | Draw | Smederevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Smederevo (rating 1475 vs 1561).
- H2H favours FK Graficar Beograd: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Graficar Beograd | Smederevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 2.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Graficar Beograd 3–2–1 Smederevo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Smederevo |
| 13/12/25 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Smederevo |
| 06/09/25 Serbia Prva Liga | Smederevo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Graficar Beograd |
| 14/12/24 Serbia Prva Liga | Smederevo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Graficar Beograd |
| 01/09/24 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Smederevo |
| 27/04/24 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Smederevo |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javor Ivanjica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Subotica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Smederevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Metalac Gornji | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Napredak | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Backa Topola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Dubocica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Loznica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FK Proleter 023 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Borac Cacak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Jedinstvo UB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Vozdovac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | OFK Vrsac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Graficar Beograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Bor 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Teleoptik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Graficar Beograd | Smederevo |
|---|---|---|
| Borac Cacak | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| FK Trayal Krusevac | 3-0 W | 5-1 W |
| FK Kabel Novi Sad | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Dubocica | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Tekstilac Odzaci | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Graficar Beograd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Graficar Beograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Borac Cacak Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | OFK Vrsac Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Metalac Gornji Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/05 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Smederevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/07 | FK Sloboda Donji Tovarnik Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | OFK Mladost DG Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | FK Trayal Krusevac Serbia Prva Liga |
5-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | FK Kabel Novi Sad Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/05 | FK Tekstilac Odzaci Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | FK Usce Novi Beograd Serbia Prva Liga |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Graficar Beograd win (44%). Probabilities: FK Graficar Beograd 44%, draw 30%, Smederevo 25%.
How many goals are expected in FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo?
The model expects 2.17 goals (FK Graficar Beograd 1.28 · Smederevo 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.