Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 08/08, 20:00
Prediction: Metalac Gornji vs Spartak Subotica
Team pages: Metalac Gornji
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Metalac Gornji1.02
Spartak Subotica1.24
1X2
Metalac Gornji
Draw
Spartak Subotica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Metalac Gornji
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Spartak Subotica
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metalac Gornji
2–1–3
Spartak Subotica
(6 last)
- Metalac Gornji1-1Spartak Subotica
- Metalac Gornji2-0Spartak Subotica
- Spartak Subotica2-0Metalac Gornji
- Metalac Gornji3-0Spartak Subotica
- Spartak Subotica4-1Metalac Gornji
- Spartak Subotica3-1Metalac Gornji
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metalac Gornji 1549 · Spartak Subotica 1426
| Metalac Gornji | Draw | Spartak Subotica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metalac Gornji (rating 1549 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Spartak Subotica: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metalac Gornji | Spartak Subotica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.3 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metalac Gornji 2–1–3 Spartak Subotica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/22 Serbia Super Liga | Metalac Gornji | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Spartak Subotica |
| 02/04/22 Serbia Super Liga | Metalac Gornji | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Spartak Subotica |
| 23/10/21 Serbia Super Liga | Spartak Subotica | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Metalac Gornji |
| 17/02/21 Serbia Super Liga | Metalac Gornji | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Spartak Subotica |
| 09/08/20 Serbia Super Liga | Spartak Subotica | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Metalac Gornji |
| 18/04/17 Serbia Super Liga | Spartak Subotica | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Metalac Gornji |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javor Ivanjica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Subotica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Smederevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Metalac Gornji | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Napredak | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Backa Topola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FK Dubocica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Loznica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FK Proleter 023 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Borac Cacak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Jedinstvo UB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Vozdovac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | OFK Vrsac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Graficar Beograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Bor 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Teleoptik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metalac Gornji
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 24/07 | Javor Ivanjica Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | FK Graficar Beograd Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | FK Radnicki Valjevo Serbia Srpska Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Napredak Markovac Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | FK Zlatibor Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Sumadija Kragujevac Serbia Srpska Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Omladinac Zablace Serbia Srpska Liga |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | FK Josanica Serbia Srpska Liga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FK Real Podunavci Serbia Srpska Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
Spartak Subotica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | OFK Vrsac Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/04 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/04 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metalac Gornji vs Spartak Subotica?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Subotica win (40%). Probabilities: Metalac Gornji 30%, draw 30%, Spartak Subotica 40%.
How many goals are expected in Metalac Gornji vs Spartak Subotica?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Metalac Gornji 1.02 · Spartak Subotica 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Metalac Gornji vs Spartak Subotica?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.