Prediction: Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Team pages: Gimnasia y Esgrima · Defensores Puerto Vilelas
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | Draw | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 29% | 14% |
| Market | 59% | 26% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensores Puerto Vilelas (rating 1505 vs 1549).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia y Esgrima | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Escobar FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Boca Unidos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia y Esgrima | Defensores Puerto Vilelas |
|---|---|---|
| Tucuman Central | 4-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Sportivo Las Parejas | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia y Esgrima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Defensores Puerto Vilelas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/08 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Central Benitez Argentina Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | CSD Fontana Argentina Regional League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/07 | Resistencia Central Argentina Regional League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia y Esgrima win (58%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Esgrima 58%, draw 27%, Defensores Puerto Vilelas 14%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Gimnasia y Esgrima 1.48 · Defensores Puerto Vilelas 0.6), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Defensores Puerto Vilelas?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.