Prediction: CA Alvarado vs CDA Monte Maiz
Team pages: CA Alvarado · CDA Monte Maiz
| CA Alvarado | Draw | CDA Monte Maiz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 27% | 11% |
| Market | 63% | 25% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Alvarado (rating 1556 vs 1476).
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Alvarado | CDA Monte Maiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo B Blanca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 | CA Alvarado | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Cipolletti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Club Villa Mitre | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Juventud Antoniana | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | CDA Monte Maiz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Alvarado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/08 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
CDA Monte Maiz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 12/08 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/07 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Alvarado vs CDA Monte Maiz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Alvarado win (63%). Probabilities: CA Alvarado 63%, draw 26%, CDA Monte Maiz 11%.
How many goals are expected in CA Alvarado vs CDA Monte Maiz?
The model expects 2.04 goals (CA Alvarado 1.54 · CDA Monte Maiz 0.5), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Alvarado vs CDA Monte Maiz?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.