Football · Argentina Torneo A · 15/08, 21:00

Prediction: Tucuman Central vs Escobar FC

Team pages: Tucuman Central · Escobar FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Tucuman Central1.15
Escobar FC1.38
1X2
29% 30% 40%
Tucuman Central Draw Escobar FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tucuman Central 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Escobar FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tucuman Central 1451 · Escobar FC 1520
Tucuman CentralDrawEscobar FC
Our model30%29%41%
Market29%31%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Escobar FC (rating 1451 vs 1520).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tucuman CentralEscobar FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.81.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.51 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.34 / 0.4

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Defensores Puerto Vilelas 3210 847
2 Escobar FC 4211 457
3 Club Atlético El Linqueño 3120 315
4 Gimnasia y Esgrima 2110 404
5 Boca Unidos 2110 414
6 Sarmiento de Resistencia 3102 363
7 Sportivo Las Parejas 3021 022
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 2011 231
9 Tucuman Central 4013 6121

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTucuman CentralEscobar FC
Club Atlético El Linqueño 1-1 D 1-0 W
Gimnasia y Esgrima 0-4 L 2-1 W
Sarmiento de Resistencia 0-1 L 1-0 W
Boca Unidos 2-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Escobar FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tucuman Central

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 3-4 33 L
08/08 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 117 D
02/08 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-4 52 L
26/07 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/07 Juventud Antoniana
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-3 15 L
05/07 Sol de America de Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 86 L
28/06 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 34 L
21/06 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 33 W
07/06 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-3 09 L
31/05 Defensores Puerto Vilelas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 76 W

Escobar FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 02 D
08/08 Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 02 W
01/08 Boca Unidos
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-3 L
25/07 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
1-2 2-2 34 D
11/07 CA Douglas Haig
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-1 27 W
05/07 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 44 D
28/06 Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 2-1 W
20/06 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-2 76 L
13/06 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
2-0 2-0 35 W
07/06 Club Atlético El Linqueño
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tucuman Central vs Escobar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Escobar FC win (40%). Probabilities: Tucuman Central 29%, draw 30%, Escobar FC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Tucuman Central vs Escobar FC?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Tucuman Central 1.15 · Escobar FC 1.38), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tucuman Central vs Escobar FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.